Ashton Jeanty or Chris Olave: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Ashton Jeanty and Chris Olave grade out even this week. Jeanty's best edge is the projection (18.9 to 17.8), Olave's best edge is the game script (23.0 implied points to 19.5) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty

RB11LVvs NO

Projected Points

Start
Chris Olave

Chris Olave

WR10NOvs LV

Projected Points

Start

Ashton Jeanty’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 68.5
-114 / -110
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 3.5
-154 / +120
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 22.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
-110
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Chris Olave’s market

REC
O/U 6.5
+108 / -138
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 76.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+150
Anytime Touchdown Props →
LV@
NOSun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
LV@
NOSun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETView the game →

Why Ashton Jeanty

Start

RB1 and feature back. Elite contact balance and tackle-breaking power with legitimate three-down receiving role and heavy volume.

Start — every-week RB start at consensus RB11: NO is the 8th-softest matchup vs RBs, 18% target share.

  • NO ranks 25 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.5 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 78% snap share.

Latest on Jeanty

Role

Jeanty has a team-high 13 targets through the first two weeks but has produced only 60 receiving yards on those looks along with three drops, making him a high-volume but low-explosiveness receiving option out of the backfield.

Yahoo Sports · Sep 21, 2026
Bucky's Breakdown: Ashton Jeanty looked right at home in Klint Kubiak's scheme

With a stellar performance in the Raiders’ win over the Dolphins, Jeanty not only silenced his critics, but he also showed the spectacular all-around game that could make him the next star.

raiders.com · Sep 15, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Chris Olave

Start

WR1 and primary target. Silky route runner with vertical speed and high-volume target share.

Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR10: LV is the 7th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 29% target share.

  • LV ranks 7 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 2-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 3.5-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share.

Latest on Olave

Tyler Shough's late-game heroics have Saints' confidence soaring

The second-year quarterback has been at his best this season when the game is on the line. Can he keep that up?

ESPN · Sep 22, 2026
Saints QB Tyler Shough expects less jitters vs. Ravens

The 26-year-old starter is the first to say he and his New Orleans team will fight through the adversity.

ESPN · Sep 18, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricAshton JeantyChris Olave
Projected points
Consensus rankRB11WR10
Opponent vs positionNO · 25 of 322-game sampleLV · 7 of 322-game sample
Rushing Yards28 of 32—
Rushing TDs29 of 32—
Rushing Attempts20 of 32—
Receptions24 of 322 of 32
Receiving Yards22 of 3215 of 32
Anytime TD25 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs—1 of 32
Targets—14 of 32
Target share18%29%
Reception share21%30%
Implied total · spread19.5+3.523.0-3.5
Depth chartRB1WR1
Snap share78%85%

Recent form

Ashton Jeanty — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs LAC
Week 1vs MIA

Chris Olave — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs BAL
Week 1vs DET

Signal breakdown

  • 18.9 vs 17.8 projected PPR pointsAshton Jeanty +
  • Rank 11 vs 10Chris Olave +
  • Opponent DvP rank 25 vs 7 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 19.5 vs 23.0 team pointsChris Olave +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 78% vs 85% snap shareChris Olave +

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