Amon-Ra St. Brown or Bijan Robinson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Amon-Ra St. Brown and Bijan Robinson grade out even this week. Brown's best edge is the game script (25.3 implied points to 21.5), Robinson's best edge is the projection (21.5 to 20.1) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
In standard and half-PPR scoring this flips to Robinson.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
12.816.520.1 Projected Points
Bijan Robinson
17.519.521.5 Projected Points
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s market
Bijan Robinson’s market
Why Amon-Ra St. Brown
StartWR1 and offensive focal point. Elite route technician from the slot with massive target share and physical hands.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR4: 25.3 implied team total, 32% target share.
- CAR ranks 4 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 25.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share.
Latest on Brown
St. Brown played fewer snaps than usual in Week 3 against the Jets while dealing with a minor physical issue, as described by coach Dan Campbell.
Yahoo Sports · Sep 29, 2026Why Bijan Robinson
StartRB1 and every-down feature back. Elite three-down workload with explosive vision, contact balance and major receiving usage.
Start — every-week RB start at consensus RB2: NO is the 9th-softest matchup vs RBs, 22% target share.
- NO ranks 24 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 3-game sample).
- Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 67% snap share.
Latest on Robinson
Robinson is operating in a new-look offense with a refashioned run design.
Bijan Robinson named NFC Offensive Player of the Weekatlantafalcons.com · Sep 30, 2026Bijan Robinson and Drake London couldn't be stopped, as Atlanta ended Green Bay's streak of 13 straight home-opening wins.
Catching you up on the news, notes and quotes from the Falcons' win against the Green Bay Packers
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Amon-Ra St. Brown | Bijan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 12.816.520.1 | 17.519.521.5 |
| Consensus rank | WR4 | RB2 |
| Opponent vs position | CAR · 4 of 323-game sample | NO · 24 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 7 of 32 | 17 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 3 of 32 | 23 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 3 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 5 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 3 of 32 | 25 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 29 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 29 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 22 of 32 |
| Target share | 32% | 22% |
| Reception share | 30% | 27% |
| Implied total · spread | 25.3-3.0 | 21.5+2.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | RB1 |
| Snap share | 86% | 67% |
Recent form
Amon-Ra St. Brown — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs NYJ | 7.99.911.9 |
| Week 2 | vs BUF | 26.230.735.2 |
| Week 1 | vs NO | 18.723.728.7 |
Bijan Robinson — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs GB | 33.334.335.3 |
| Week 2 | vs CAR | 8.19.611.1 |
| Week 1 | vs PIT | 23.327.331.3 |
Signal breakdown
- 20.1 vs 21.5 projected PPR pointsBijan Robinson +
- Rank 4 vs 2Bijan Robinson +
- Opponent DvP rank 4 vs 24 (32 = softest)Bijan Robinson +
- Implied 25.3 vs 21.5 team pointsAmon-Ra St. Brown +
- No injury designationseven
- 86% vs 67% snap shareAmon-Ra St. Brown +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Brown comparisons
- A. St. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownWRDETvs CARP. NacuaPuka NacuaWRLARvs PHI
- A. St. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownWRDETvs CARJ. Smith-NjigbaJaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEAvs LAC
- A. St. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownWRDETvs CARC. LambCeeDee LambWRDALvs HOU
- A. St. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownWRDETvs CARJ. JeffersonJustin JeffersonWRMINvs MIA
More Robinson comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs PIT
- Q. JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRBCLEvs PITC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARI
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARID. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CIN
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CINB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GB
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs GBD. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHIL. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJ
- L. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs NYJC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TB
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CINM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- M. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYGS. DiggsStefon DiggsWRWSHvs IND
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs NO
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CAR
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs CART. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TB
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs TBT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LV
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs LVJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOU
- J. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs HOUI. LikelyIsaiah LikelyTENYGvs ARI
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs HOU
T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CIN
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CINB. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DEN
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs DENP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LV
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs LVB. NixBo NixQBDENvs SF
- B. NixBo NixQBDENvs SFM. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHI
- M. StaffordMatthew StaffordQBLARvs PHIK. MurrayKyler MurrayQBMINvs MIA
- K. FairbairnKa'imi FairbairnKHOUvs DAL
H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LV
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs LVT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TEN
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs TENW. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIA
- W. ReichardWill ReichardKMINvs MIAE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAX
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs JAXS. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSH
- S. ShraderSpencer ShraderKINDvs WSHD. CarlsonDaniel CarlsonKNOvs ATL
- Commanders D/STCommanders D/STDSTWSHvs IND
Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NE
- Bills D/STBills D/STDSTBUFvs NEBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJ
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs NYJPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TB
- Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs TBGiants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARI
- Giants D/STGiants D/STDSTNYGvs ARIBuccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB
- Buccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs GB49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs DEN
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs ARIP. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIN
- P. WashingtonParker WashingtonWRJAXvs CIND. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJ
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs NYJD. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs PHI
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs TBG. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DEN
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs DENT. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs JAX
- J. DownsJosh DownsWRINDvs WSH
D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DAL - D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs DALM. WilsonMichael WilsonWRARIvs NYG
- J. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs DET
K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs PHI
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