Aaron Jones Sr. or Jake Ferguson: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The role is real but capped: 55% snap share and a 12% target share over 12 games keep the PPR floor alive, yet Yahoo's depth chart calls Jones and Jordan Mason a true 1a/1b tandem, so there's no path to a lead-back workload.
• Consensus has him RB35 at 10.3 projected points — that's flex territory in a 12-team PPR, not a locked starting RB2.
• Game script is neutral: a 1.5-point spread and a 21.5 implied team total mean neither a pass-heavy chase nor a clock-killing ground script is likely, which caps the upside on a split workload.
• What tips it: if your alternative is a sub-10-point projection, the receiving work makes Jones startable; any RB with a defined lead role should beat him out.

The call

• 17% target share on a 67% snap share is legitimate TE1 usage; he's the pass-catching hub at the position for Dallas, not a rotational piece.
• Reported injuries to Schoonmaker and Michael Trigg push even more snaps and routes his way, protecting his floor.
• Game script cooperates: a 1.5-point spread and a 25.0 implied team total mean Dallas throws in a competitive game rather than sitting on a lead.
• Risk is touchdown-dependence — at 9.8 projected points he's a floor start rather than a ceiling swing, so he's TE12-level rather than a set-and-forget top option.