Mark Andrews: Start or Sit?

TE•vs TEN•Fantasy Football verdict

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

This week’s verdict

Start· medium

25% target share on a 28.0-implied offense outweighs a tough TEN matchup (5 of 32) built on a thin 3-game sample.

Projected

Consensus

TE15

position rank

Opponent

TEN

this week

Implied total

28.0

team points

TEN ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
Vegas implies 28.0 team points as 8.5-point favorites.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 65% snap share.

The call

Usage is the anchor. A 25% target share is TE1-caliber volume, and 65% snap share keeps him on the field for the high-value downs.
Baltimore's 28.0 implied total and -8.5 spread point to plenty of scoring chances. That boosts his touchdown equity even if positive game script trims late passing volume.
The matchup is the knock: TEN grades 5 of 32 vs TEs. That composite rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so don't let it override the role.
Health looks fine. He carries no designation, and Yahoo Sports (2026-10-02) reported a full Thursday practice despite a hand ailment. The 10.0-point TE15 projection sits right at the TE1 line, so he's a start over typical replacement options.

Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

The market’s number

Sportsbook lines are the sharpest weekly projection there is.

REC

O/U 3.5

-155 / +121

Props →

REC YDS

O/U 38.5

-113 / -111

Props →

ATD

Anytime TD

+180

Props →

TEN@

BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Box score, injuries, and every prop on this gameView the game →

Recent form

Mark Andrews — last 3 weeks

Week 3	vs DAL	2.43.95.4
Week 2	vs NO	4.97.910.9
Week 1	vs IND	4.96.98.9

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Latest on Andrews

Status

Mark Andrews was a full practice participant Thursday despite being listed on the injury report with a hand ailment that has not limited his practice participation.

Yahoo Sports · Oct 2, 2026

Why Mike Clay is conflicted on Mark Andrews in Week 4

VideoESPN · Oct 1, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Verdict history

Week	Verdict	Reason
2026 Week 4	Start· medium	25% target share on a 28.0-implied offense outweighs a tough TEN matchup (5 of 32) built on a thin 3-game sample.
2026 Week 3	Start· medium	25% target share and 72% snaps in a 27.0-point implied offense make Andrews a viable TE1 fringe start at TE15 despite a neutral DAL matchup.
2026 Week 2	Start· medium	25% target share and 72% snaps in a 27-point implied offense — Andrews is a volume-driven TE1 start despite the TE15 tag.
2026 Week 1	Start· medium	26.5 implied total and a 17% target share keep Andrews in the TE1 mix despite a TE15 tag — he's the red-zone target in a favored offense.