Terrance Ferguson or Tyler Allgeier: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Ferguson edges Allgeier with more ways to score

Ferguson is the pick, but only a narrow upgrade between two low-ceiling sits: their expected scoring is nearly even, while his stronger relative standing and better team scoring outlook tip the choice. Ferguson’s receiving involvement offers a path beyond touchdowns, though Denver’s tough matchup limits that edge; Allgeier’s greater snap presence and goal-line role are real counterweights. Ferguson’s main risk is that a modest role leaves little room to absorb a matchup slowdown.

What flips it: An Allgeier goal-line touchdown.

Sources: ESPN · Sep 15, 2026

AI editor

Terrance Ferguson

Terrance Ferguson

TE22LARvs DEN

Projected Points

Sit
Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier

RB48ARIvs SF

Projected Points

Sit

Terrance Ferguson’s market

ATD
Anytime TD
+270
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Tyler Allgeier’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 34.5
-114 / -114
Rushing Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+10000
Anytime Touchdown Props →
LAR@
DENSun, Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETView the game →
ARI@
SFSun, Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETView the game →

Why Terrance Ferguson

Sit

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE22: DEN is the 8th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 24.3 implied team total.

  • His receiving work offers a route to points that doesn’t depend on a goal-line carry.
  • The Rams’ scoring outlook gives his modest involvement a better chance to matter.

Latest on Ferguson

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Tyler Allgeier

Sit

Power back splitting a committee backfield. Compact downhill runner and short-yardage/goal-line finisher with red-zone scoring value.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB48: 17.5 implied team total caps the ceiling, 6% target share.

  • Allgeier’s short-yardage finishing gives him touchdown upside beyond his passing-game role. [ESPN 2026-09-15]
  • His heavier workload could matter if Arizona keeps the game closer than expected.

Latest on Allgeier

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricTerrance FergusonTyler Allgeier
Projected points
Consensus rankTE22RB48
Opponent vs positionDEN · 8 of 322-game sampleSF · 15 of 322-game sample
Receptions9 of 3211 of 32
Receiving Yards20 of 3218 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 32—
Targets7 of 32—
Anytime TD1 of 328 of 32
Rushing Yards—19 of 32
Rushing TDs—10 of 32
Rushing Attempts—23 of 32
Target share18%6%
Reception share15%9%
Implied total · spread24.3-3.017.5+11.5
Depth chartTE2RB2
Snap share55%62%

Recent form

Terrance Ferguson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs NYG
Week 1vs SF

Tyler Allgeier — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs SEA
Week 1vs LAC

Signal breakdown

  • 7.9 vs 7.5 projected PPR pointsTerrance Ferguson +
  • Rank 22 vs 48Terrance Ferguson +
  • Opponent DvP rank 8 vs 15 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 24.3 vs 17.5 team pointsTerrance Ferguson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 55% vs 62% snap shareTyler Allgeier +

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