Sam LaPorta or Xavier Worthy: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
LaPorta’s established TE1 role beats Worthy’s near-even projection
Start Sam LaPorta: the raw projections are essentially level, but his stronger standing at tight end and more secure TE1 role create the meaningful edge. Detroit’s higher scoring expectation and LaPorta’s every-down involvement matter more than the Jets matchup, which is based on only two games with no confidence. Xavier Worthy has appealing speed and manufactured-touch upside, but a WR2 role makes his weekly output more dependent on explosive plays; that volatility is the call’s main risk.
What flips it: A role change that gives Worthy clearly more dependable route volume.
AI editor

Sam LaPorta
6.89.011.2 Projected Points

Xavier Worthy
8.09.711.4 Projected Points
Sam LaPorta’s market
Xavier Worthy’s market
Why Sam LaPorta
Start· mediumTE1 and pass-catching mismatch. Reliable seam and intermediate target when healthy.
TE8 with a 90% snap share and 20% target share on a 27.5-point implied total — the scary Jets DvP rank is a 2-game, zero-confidence sample.
- LaPorta’s TE1 role gives him a sturdier weekly floor than the nearly identical projection suggests.
- The Jets DvP signal is too thin to outweigh LaPorta’s established involvement in Detroit’s offense.
The call
- Role is locked: 90% snap share and a 20% target share through two games make LaPorta the clear pass-game hub, and TE8 consensus with 11.2 projected points beats any realistic 12-team replacement.
- The Jets' No. 2-of-32 DvP mark vs tight ends looks ugly, but it's built on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to bench a locked-in starter.
- Detroit's 27.5 implied total and -9.5 spread mean plenty of offensive snaps; the risk is a blowout script that shifts volume to the run game late.
- No injury designation, so there's no availability concern attached to the call.
Why Xavier Worthy
Start· mediumWR2 and vertical speed threat. Elite track speed with jet-motion and manufactured-touch usage.
82% snap share and a 26.0 implied team total keep Worthy in the flex mix; the tough DvP rank comes from a 2-game sample with zero confidence.
- Worthy’s vertical speed and manufactured touches give him a path to outscore LaPorta on one explosive play.
- Kansas City’s strong scoring environment keeps Worthy viable despite his less secure WR2 role.
The call
- Role is locked in: 82% snap share and a 19% target share as the WR-2 in an offense projected for 26.0 implied points is a startable weekly floor in 12-team PPR.
- The matchup grade (6 of 32 vs the position) looks scary, but it's built on a 2-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to bench a full-time receiver on a good offense.
- 11.4 projected points against a WR49 consensus rank means the model sees him outproducing his price tag; that's flex value over a typical waiver replacement.
- Risk is the script: at -7.5 a comfortable lead can shrink second-half passing volume, and 19% target share leaves him dependent on efficiency rather than raw looks.
Latest on Worthy
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Sam LaPorta | Xavier Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.89.011.2 | 8.09.711.4 |
| Consensus rank | TE8 | WR49 |
| Opponent vs position | NYJ · 2 of 322-game sample | MIA · 6 of 322-game sample |
| Receptions | 4 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 3 of 32 | 6 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Targets | 3 of 32 | 2 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 1 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Target share | 20% | 19% |
| Reception share | 21% | 17% |
| Implied total · spread | 27.5-9.5 | 26.0-7.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 90% | 82% |
| Start/Sit record | 1–1 | 1–0+1 toss-up |
Recent form
Sam LaPorta — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs BUF | 11.214.217.2 |
| Week 1 | vs NO | 4.87.39.8 |
Xavier Worthy — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs IND | 8.511.013.5 |
| Week 1 | vs DEN | 1.83.34.8 |
Signal breakdown
- 11.2 vs 11.4 projected PPR pointsXavier Worthy +
- Rank 8 vs 49Sam LaPorta +
- Opponent DvP rank 2 vs 6 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 27.5 vs 26.0 team pointsSam LaPorta +
- No injury designationseven
- 90% vs 82% snap shareSam LaPorta +
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