Michael Wilson or Tucker Kraft: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Kraft's stronger scoring environment edges Wilson's wider route workload

Tucker Kraft gets the nod because the sub-point projection gap understates the difference between a TE1 in a 24-point offense and a WR2 attached to a 17.3-point team total. Wilson's 85% snap share gives him the steadier workload, but his outside role is more exposed to Arizona's low-scoring outlook and Seattle's tough coverage. Kraft's 66% usage carries more volatility, yet his primary-seam role and confirmed return from the ACL make the Packers' environment more actionable (packers.com 2026-09-18).

What flips it: A surprise restriction on Kraft's post-ACL workload.

Sources: packers.com · Sep 18, 2026

AI editor

Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson

WR37ARIvs SEA

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft

TE9GBvs NYJ

Projected Points

Start· medium

Michael Wilson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-141 / +110
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 37.5
-109 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+380
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Tucker Kraft’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-135 / +106
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 44.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+170
Anytime Touchdown Props →
SEA@
ARISun, Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
GB@
NYJSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Michael Wilson

Toss-Up

WR2 and big-bodied outside target. Physical at the catch point with 1,000-yard breakout production and full-season availability.

Toss-up — WR37 consensus, projects WR43 this week: SEA is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 17.3 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • Wilson's near-every-down role gives him the cleaner volume floor if Arizona avoids an early hole.
  • His size and outside-target role offer a path to useful scoring even in a muted Cardinals offense.

Latest on Wilson

Role

Wilson played a team-high 64 of 85 snaps (75%) among wideouts in Week 1, catching five of seven targets for 56 yards.

Yahoo Sports/Cards Wire · Sep 14, 2026

Why Tucker Kraft

Start· medium

TE1 and primary seam threat. Physical yards-after-catch producer and capable in-line blocker; returning from injury.

TE9 at 10.6 projected with a locked-in role — 66% snaps, 15% target share, and fully back from the ACL after 3-65 in Week 1.

  • Kraft's TE1 seam role benefits more from Green Bay's favorable scoring outlook than raw snap share suggests.
  • The ACL comeback is no longer a major uncertainty after his active Week 1 role (packers.com 2026-09-18).

The call

  • Consensus TE9 at 10.6 projected points clears the bar for a 12-team PPR starting tight end; there's no replacement-level alternative worth the swap.
  • Role is secure: 66% snap share and 15% target share as the clear TE1, and packers.com confirms he's fully back from the torn ACL after a 45-snap, 3-catch, 65-yard Week 1.
  • Game script fits — Green Bay is favored by 5.5 with a 24.0 implied total, so there's plenty of scoring volume and red-zone work available to him.
  • Only real caution is the matchup grade (8 of 32 vs TE), but that's a one-game sample with 0.00 confidence and shouldn't outweigh the role.

Latest on Kraft

Role

Tucker Kraft played 45 snaps in Week 1 and caught three passes for 65 yards.

Contract extension is dream come true for Tucker Kraftpackers.com · Sep 18, 2026
Status

Tucker Kraft is fully back from the torn ACL that ended his 2025 campaign.

Contract extension is dream come true for Tucker Kraftpackers.com · Sep 18, 2026
Packers sign TE Tucker Kraft to contract extension

General Manager Brian Gutekunst announced the transaction Saturday

packers.com · Sep 12, 2026
Sources: Packers, TE Tucker Kraft agree to 4-year extension

The Packers and tight end Tucker Kraft have reached agreement on a four-year extension worth up to $92 million, sources told ESPN.

ESPN · Sep 12, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricMichael WilsonTucker Kraft
Projected points
Consensus rankWR37TE9
Opponent vs positionSEA · 10 of 321-game sampleNYJ · 8 of 321-game sample
Receptions20 of 3214 of 32
Receiving Yards7 of 3214 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 321 of 32
Targets22 of 3211 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 321 of 32
Target share19%15%
Reception share19%14%
Implied total · spread17.3+10.024.0-5.5
Depth chartWR1TE1
Snap share85%66%
Start/Sit record—0–1

Recent form

Michael Wilson — last 1 week

Week 1vs LAC

Tucker Kraft — last 1 week

Week 1vs MIN

Signal breakdown

  • 10.0 vs 10.6 projected PPR pointsTucker Kraft +
  • Rank 37 vs 9Tucker Kraft +
  • Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 8 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 17.3 vs 24.0 team pointsTucker Kraft +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 85% vs 66% snap shareMichael Wilson +

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