MarShawn Lloyd or T.J. Hockenson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Hockenson's target role edges Lloyd's rushing-only path in PPR

Hockenson gets the call because his middle-field target role gives him a steadier PPR path than Lloyd's carry-dependent workload. Lloyd has real appeal: Yahoo Sports 2026-09-14 confirms he handled every rushing-play snap, and Green Bay's favorable script could sustain that volume. But Hockenson's own role is less secure than it looks; Yahoo Sports 2026-09-14 also documents an effective near-even tight end rotation with Josh Oliver. That makes this a narrow Hockenson edge, with Lloyd's lack of receiving involvement the key risk to the alternative.

What flips it: A confirmed passing-down role for Lloyd.

Sources: Yahoo Sports · Sep 14, 2026

AI editor

In standard and half-PPR scoring this is a coin flip.

MarShawn Lloyd

MarShawn Lloyd

RB33GBvs NYJ

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium
T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson

TE18MINvs CHI

Projected Points

Sit

MarShawn Lloyd’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 49.5
-113 / -111
REC
O/U 1.5
+151 / -194
REC YDS
O/U 6.5
-114 / -110
ATD
Anytime TD
+145

T.J. Hockenson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-119 / -107
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 30.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+300
Anytime Touchdown Props →
GB@
NYJSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
MIN@
CHISun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why MarShawn Lloyd

Toss-Up· medium

RB1-listed change-of-pace back. Explosive burst and receiving upside; minimal NFL sample due to injuries.

Owns 100% of the rushing-play snaps on a 5.5-point favorite, but RB33 at 11.2 with a 3% target share is pure flex — zero pass-game floor.

  • Green Bay's favorable script could turn Lloyd's rushing-play monopoly into sustained carry volume.
  • His explosive profile gives the favored offense a path to chunk gains without needing catches.

The call

  • Role is the bull case: per Yahoo (9/14), Lloyd took all 13 of Green Bay's rushing-play snaps in Week 1 on a 44% snap share, so the carries funnel through him.
  • Game script helps — a 24.0 implied total and a -5.5 spread point to a lead Green Bay can grind out, which means late-game handoffs.
  • The cap is receiving work: 3% target share, seven pass-pro snaps and no catches means his PPR floor lives entirely on rushing volume and touchdown luck.
  • Matchup grades tough (DvP 3 of 32, with 32 softest), but that's a one-game sample at 0.00 confidence — don't bench him on it. If he holds the full rush-snap share, he's a startable flex; if Green Bay splits the backfield, sit him.

Latest on Lloyd

Role

Lloyd played 30 snaps in the Week 1 opener and got all 13 of the team's rushing-play snaps (13 carries), but only saw 16 passing-down snaps and pass-protected on just seven plays with no catches.

Yahoo Sports · Sep 14, 2026
Expectations for Packers' MarShawn Lloyd with Josh Jacobs out

Lloyd is finally healthy and Josh Jacobs is on the commissioner exempt list, but how much of a workload can Lloyd handle in Week 1?

ESPN · Sep 9, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why T.J. Hockenson

Sit

TE1 and primary middle-of-field target. Route-savvy seam threat with high-volume usage when healthy.

Sit — TE18 consensus, projects TE16 this week: 22% target share, 9.6 PPR projected vs CHI.

  • A target-driven PPR role gives Hockenson more routes to a useful score than Lloyd's carry-dependent profile.
  • The Oliver rotation is the ceiling concern, but Hockenson's middle-field role still offers the steadier floor.

Latest on Hockenson

Role

Hockenson played 43 offensive snaps in the Vikings' Week 1 tight end rotation, behind Josh Oliver's 42 snaps, with the pairing described as effective.

Yahoo Sports · Sep 14, 2026

Head-to-head stats

MetricMarShawn LloydT.J. Hockenson
Projected points
Consensus rankRB33TE18
Opponent vs positionNYJ · 3 of 321-game sampleCHI · 13 of 321-game sample
Rushing Yards3 of 32—
Rushing TDs1 of 32—
Rushing Attempts1 of 32—
Receptions8 of 3218 of 32
Receiving Yards6 of 3221 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs—1 of 32
Targets—24 of 32
Target share3%22%
Reception share0%27%
Implied total · spread24.0-5.521.0+3.5
Depth chartRB1TE1
Snap share44%66%
Start/Sit record0–1+1 toss-up1–0

Recent form

MarShawn Lloyd — last 1 week

Week 1vs MIN

T.J. Hockenson — last 1 week

Week 1vs GB

Signal breakdown

  • 11.2 vs 9.6 projected PPR pointsMarShawn Lloyd +
  • Rank 33 vs 18T.J. Hockenson +
  • Opponent DvP rank 3 vs 13 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 24.0 vs 21.0 team pointsMarShawn Lloyd +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 44% vs 66% snap shareT.J. Hockenson +

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