Mark Andrews or Michael Mayer: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Baltimore's 26.5 implied team total as a 3.5-point favorite means plenty of scoring chances, and Andrews is the one target who converts those trips inside the 10.
• A 17% target share on 62% of snaps is a route-running specialist's usage — he's not a blocker padding volume, he's the designed passing-game piece.
• TE15 and 10.1 projected points is exactly the tier where touchdown equity breaks ties, and Andrews carries more of it than almost anyone ranked near him.
• Risk is the 62% snap share capping his floor if Baltimore grinds out a lead on the ground — he's a start, not a set-and-forget.

The call

• Role is real but not locked down: 62% of snaps over 13 games with a 13% target share means he's a secondary option, so his floor depends on red-zone looks rather than steady volume.
• The 9.3 PPR projection clears typical replacement-level TE production, which is why the ESPN buzz (Sept 10) about adding him has traction — it's playable, not exciting.
• Game script is neutral-to-mildly-positive: a 22.3 implied total as a 3-point favorite suggests a balanced attack rather than the pass-heavy chase mode that lifts low-target tight ends.
• Tip it to start if you're streaming from the TE waiver pile or need touchdown equity; sit him if you have a TE with a 20%-plus target share available.