Start Terry McLaurin over Jordan Addison — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start McLaurin — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Terry McLaurin is the higher consensus play (WR23 to WR44) and projects 12.3 to Addison's 9.9. Addison's edge is snap share, 85% to 70%. The gap is comfortable.

Jordan Addison

WR44MINvs GB

6.48.29.9 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Terry McLaurin

WR23WSHvs PHI

7.710.012.3 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Jordan Addison

Toss-Up· medium

WR2 and vertical field-stretcher. Slight-framed separator with deep-ball tracking and red-zone production.

85% snaps and a 21% target share give a real floor, but 9.9 projected points and a WR45 tag make him a pure replacement-level flex vs GB.

GB ranks 17 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share in 2025.

The call

The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.

Latest on Addison

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Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Terry McLaurin

Toss-Up

WR1 and offensive centerpiece. Explosive vertical route-runner with elite release package; missed time in 2025.

Toss-up — WR23 consensus, projects WR24 this week: PHI is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 24% target share in 2025.

PHI ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 20.5 team points as 5.5-point underdogs.
Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 70% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Jordan Addison	Terry McLaurin
Projected points	6.48.29.9	7.710.012.3
Consensus rank	WR44	WR23
Opponent vs position	GB · 17 of 320-game sample	PHI · 10 of 320-game sample
Receptions	14 of 32	10 of 32
Receiving Yards	14 of 32	15 of 32
Receiving TDs	27 of 32	1 of 32
Targets	10 of 32	23 of 32
Anytime TD	22 of 32	1 of 32
Target share	21%(2025)	24%(2025)
Reception share	17%(2025)	23%(2025)
Implied total · spread	21.5+1.5	20.5+5.5
Depth chart	WR2	WR1
Snap share	85%(2025)	70%(2025)
Start/Sit record	0–0+1 toss-up	—