Jordan Addison or Tee Higgins: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
• The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
• A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
• Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.

The call

• The 13.0 projection and WR20 consensus rank sit well above replacement level in a 12-team PPR league — this is a lineup-lock range of production when he plays.
• Cincinnati's 27.0 implied total as a 3.5-point favorite points to a high-scoring script with plenty of red-zone chances for a WR-2 who plays 81% of snaps at an 18% target share.
• The Tampa Bay matchup is neutral (17 of 32 DvP composite, and that's on a 0-game sample with zero confidence), so it neither boosts nor blocks the call.
• The questionable tag is the lone caveat — confirm he's active before kickoff, and have a bench WR warm in case he's a late scratch or on a snap limit.