Start Jordan Addison over Samaje Perine — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Addison — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.

Jordan Addison projects 9.9 to Perine's 5.9 and is the higher consensus play (WR44 to RB51). Perine's edge is the game script, 27.0 implied points to 21.5. The gap is wide.

Jordan Addison

WR44MINvs GB

6.48.29.9 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Samaje Perine

RB51CINvs TB

4.85.45.9 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Jordan Addison

Toss-Up· medium

WR2 and vertical field-stretcher. Slight-framed separator with deep-ball tracking and red-zone production.

85% snaps and a 21% target share give a real floor, but 9.9 projected points and a WR45 tag make him a pure replacement-level flex vs GB.

GB ranks 17 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share in 2025.

The call

The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.

Latest on Addison

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Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Samaje Perine

Toss-Up

Veteran backup RB and kick returner. Reliable pass protector and third-down receiving option.

Toss-up — RB51 consensus, projects RB52 this week: 27.0 implied team total, 4% target share in 2025.

TB ranks 13 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 3.5-point favorites.
Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 35% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Jordan Addison	Samaje Perine
Projected points	6.48.29.9	4.85.45.9
Consensus rank	WR44	RB51
Opponent vs position	GB · 17 of 320-game sample	TB · 13 of 320-game sample
Receptions	14 of 32	20 of 32
Receiving Yards	14 of 32	32 of 32
Receiving TDs	27 of 32	—
Targets	10 of 32	—
Anytime TD	22 of 32	9 of 32
Rushing Yards	—	6 of 32
Rushing TDs	—	10 of 32
Rushing Attempts	—	2 of 32
Target share	21%(2025)	4%(2025)
Reception share	17%(2025)	5%(2025)
Implied total · spread	21.5+1.5	27.0-3.5
Depth chart	WR2	RB2
Snap share	85%(2025)	35%(2025)
Start/Sit record	0–0+1 toss-up	—