Jonah Coleman or Ray Davis: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Davis — the game script and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Ray Davis plays in the better game script (23.5 implied team points to 20.0) and projects 5.1 to Coleman's 4.1. Coleman's edge is the consensus rank, RB50 to RB51. The gap is narrow.
Jonah Coleman
3.13.64.1 Projected Points
Ray Davis
4.04.55.1 Projected Points
Why Jonah Coleman
SitRookie RB3 and depth back. Compact, physical runner with no NFL regular-season sample yet.
Sit — RB50 consensus, projects RB60 this week: 4.1 PPR projected vs KC.
- Vegas implies 20.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart.
Latest on Coleman
Rookie fourth-round pick Coleman was rested alongside Dobbins and Harvey in the preseason finale, and reporting indicates the 220-pound back is likely to get early-down work in Denver's Week 1 backfield rotation.
CBS Sports · Sep 3, 2026Why Ray Davis
Toss-UpBackup RB and kick returner. Compact power runner with contact balance.
Toss-up — RB51 consensus, projects RB52 this week: 3% target share in 2025, 5.1 PPR projected vs HOU.
- Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 14% snap share in 2025.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jonah Coleman | Ray Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.13.64.1 | 4.04.55.1 |
| Consensus rank | RB50 | RB51 |
| Opponent vs position | KCno ranking yet | HOUno ranking yet |
| Target share | — | 3%(2025) |
| Reception share | — | 3%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 20.0+2.5 | 23.5-1.5 |
| Depth chart | RB3 | RB2 |
| Snap share | — | 14%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 4.1 vs 5.1 projected PPR pointsRay Davis +
- Rank 50 vs 51Jonah Coleman +
- Matchup (DvP composite)even
- Implied 20.0 vs 23.5 team pointsRay Davis +
- No injury designationseven
- Snap shareeven
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