J.K. Dobbins or Juwan Johnson: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The Week 1 usage is the tell: eight carries, team-high 36 yards, and no targets. A back with 0% target share in PPR needs volume or a score, and 43% snaps says he isn't getting the volume.
• The matchup is a negative, not a boost — Jacksonville grades 9 of 32 in the DvP composite (1 = stiffest), so the soft-spot argument isn't there even on a one-game sample.
• Game script is the one thing working for him: a 23.0 implied total as a 2.5-point favorite keeps the early-down rushing script alive, which is exactly where he gets his work.
• Tipping point: if Jacksonville plays it close and this becomes a grind, RB37 at 11.6 projected is a usable flex. If the model's expectation is a game that gets away like Kansas City did, he's off the field late — bench him for any back who catches passes.

The call

• Consensus has him TE16 at 8.9 PPR points, right at replacement level in a 12-team league, and the Baltimore matchup grades 12 of 32 (tougher half) on the DvP composite.
• The illness is the swing factor: he did not practice Wednesday and was only a limited participant Thursday, so a game-day scratch or a snap-count cap is live risk you don't need at TE.
• Role is real — 84% snap share — but a 14% target share on a team with a 19.5 implied total caps the ceiling even if the 7.5-point deficit forces some pass volume.
• If he practices full Friday and you're thin at tight end, he's a defensible plug-and-pray; with any healthy TE1-adjacent option available, take that instead.