J.K. Dobbins or Jordan Addison: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The consensus has him RB36 at 9.5 points; in a 12-team PPR that's below the line you'd start over a typical flex/replacement back.
• The role is capped: 51% snap share over 10 games and a 4% target share means almost no receiving work, so his week lives or dies on a goal-line score.
• Matchup and script don't bail him out — the DvP composite ranks KC 9 of 32 against the position (though on a 0-game, zero-confidence sample) and Denver's 20.0 implied total in a 2.5-point game limits volume upside.
• He's healthy with no designation and is described as the lead runner ahead of Harvey and Coleman — if that turns into a genuine 70%-snap workload or goal-line monopoly, this flips to a flex start fast.

The call

• Usage is the strength of the profile: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games means he's on the field and involved every drive, which is the floor-builder that matters in PPR.
• The projection doesn't match the role — 9.9 points and a WR44 consensus rank put him below the typical starting cut in a 12-team league, so he's a flex piece rather than a lineup lock.
• Matchup and script are neutral: Green Bay grades 17 of 32 vs the position on a 0-game sample with zero confidence, and a 1.5-point spread with a 21.5 implied total means no built-in pass-volume boost.
• Tipping point: if your alternative is a low-target committee back or a boom-bust WR3, Addison's target share wins; if you have a locked-in WR with a better implied total, sit him.