Jake Ferguson or Tony Pollard: Who Should You Start?

The call

• 17% target share on a 67% snap share is legitimate TE1 usage; he's the pass-catching hub at the position for Dallas, not a rotational piece.
• Reported injuries to Schoonmaker and Michael Trigg push even more snaps and routes his way, protecting his floor.
• Game script cooperates: a 1.5-point spread and a 25.0 implied team total mean Dallas throws in a competitive game rather than sitting on a lead.
• Risk is touchdown-dependence — at 9.8 projected points he's a floor start rather than a ceiling swing, so he's TE12-level rather than a set-and-forget top option.

The call

• Pollard holds the starter's edge, but the Yahoo report describes an intentional snap split with Tyjae Spears heavily involved in the passing game — that's a hard ceiling on a 63% snap share.
• An 8% target share means his PPR value is almost entirely carries and touchdowns; he needs the run script rather than catches to hit 11.5.
• Vegas helps: Tennessee is favored by 3.0 with a 21.3 implied total, so late-game clock-killing work is in play if the Titans lead.
• RB28 with no injury designation makes him a defensible flex, but he's a bench-over-any-top-24-RB call; if Spears' passing-game role expands early, Pollard's touch count shrinks fast.