Jake Ferguson or Jameson Williams: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Ferguson's 17% target share over 17 games is genuine TE1 usage — he's a core piece of this passing game, not a matchup-dependent streamer.
• A 25.0 implied total and a 1.5-point spread point to a competitive script where Dallas keeps throwing; that's ideal for a high-volume seam and short-area target.
• The DvP composite reads 7 of 32 (tough), but it's a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence — no reason to let an empty matchup number override locked-in role.
• No injury designation and a clear TE1 slot on the depth chart; the 9.8-point projection is above what a typical 12-team replacement TE offers.

The call

• Role is not in question: 90% snap share and a 19% target share over 17 games make him the clear WR-2 in one of the league's highest-scoring offenses.
• Vegas backs the volume — a 27.8 implied team total gives Detroit plenty of scoring chances, and his 12.1 projected points slot him as a WR26, a startable weekly floor in 12-team PPR.
• The DvP composite ranks New Orleans 10 of 32 against the position, but that's a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't override the role and team-total evidence.
• Main risk is the profile: as a field-stretcher his week-to-week output is spiky, and a -7.0 spread could shift Detroit to the run late if they build a lead.