Isaiah Likely or TreVeyon Henderson: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Likely's concentrated receiving role breaks the close call

Likely is the better start because his large share of the Giants' targets gives him a clearer path to production than Henderson's change-of-pace role. The 1.1-point projection gap is modest, but it carries more weight here because Likely's target involvement separates him from an RB2 who had no targets in his one-game sample. Henderson's home-run speed can change a week, while Likely's main risk is that his 59% snap share in a two-TE room limits his opportunities.

What flips it: Henderson earning a consistent receiving role.

AI editor

Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely

TE14NYGvs TEN

Projected Points

Start· medium
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson

RB27NEvs JAX

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Isaiah Likely’s market

TreVeyon Henderson’s market

Why Isaiah Likely

Start· medium

Starting TE and pass-catching mismatch. Athletic seam-stretcher with red-zone flex ability.

30% target share and 11.6 projected points make Likely a clear TE1 play despite a 49% snap rate in a two-TE room.

  • His pass-catching mismatch profile gives the Giants a reason to feature him even without a full-time snap share.
  • Red-zone flexibility adds a scoring route beyond routine receptions.

The call

  • A 30% target share over two games is elite usage for a tight end — even on 49% of snaps, he's being schemed the ball when he's on the field.
  • 11.6 projected points at TE14 clears the bar over a typical waiver-wire tight end in a 12-team PPR league.
  • Baltimore is a 3-point favorite with a 23.8 implied total, a neutral-to-positive script that keeps the offense on schedule and Likely in the route tree.
  • The Tennessee defense grades 9 of 32 versus tight ends, but that's a two-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to bench a player with this target volume.

Latest on Likely

VideoESPN · Sep 16, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why TreVeyon Henderson

Toss-Up

RB2 and explosive change-of-pace back. Home-run speed with pass-protection and receiving value.

Toss-up — RB27 consensus, projects RB30 this week: 0% target share, 10.5 PPR projected vs JAX.

  • Home-run speed gives Henderson a path to outproduce his role on a single explosive play.
  • His pass-protection and receiving value could earn him a broader role.

Latest on Henderson

Henderson (ankle) is expected to return for the Patriots, but New England could be down its starting cornerback vs. the Steelers on Sunday.

patriots.com · Sep 18, 2026

Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson said Thursday he's "ready to go" for Sunday's game against the Steelers after missing New England's opener with an ankle injury.

ESPN · Sep 17, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricIsaiah LikelyTreVeyon Henderson
Projected points
Consensus rankTE14RB27
Opponent vs positionTEN · 9 of 322-game sampleJAX · 12 of 322-game sample
Receptions15 of 3224 of 32
Receiving Yards1 of 3226 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 32
Targets16 of 32
Anytime TD13 of 328 of 32
Rushing Yards3 of 32
Rushing TDs10 of 32
Rushing Attempts3 of 32
Target share30%0%
Reception share35%0%
Implied total · spread23.8-3.022.0+1.5
Depth chartTE1RB2
Snap share59%60%
Start/Sit record11

Recent form

Isaiah Likely — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs LAR
Week 1vs DAL

TreVeyon Henderson — last 2 weeks

Week 2vs PIT
Week 1vs SEA

Signal breakdown

  • 11.6 vs 10.5 projected PPR pointsIsaiah Likely +
  • Rank 14 vs 27Isaiah Likely +
  • Opponent DvP rank 9 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 23.8 vs 22.0 team pointsIsaiah Likely +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 59% vs 60% snap shareTreVeyon Henderson +

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