Isaiah Likely or TreVeyon Henderson: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 3 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Likely's concentrated receiving role breaks the close call
Likely is the better start because his large share of the Giants' targets gives him a clearer path to production than Henderson's change-of-pace role. The 1.1-point projection gap is modest, but it carries more weight here because Likely's target involvement separates him from an RB2 who had no targets in his one-game sample. Henderson's home-run speed can change a week, while Likely's main risk is that his 59% snap share in a two-TE room limits his opportunities.
What flips it: Henderson earning a consistent receiving role.
AI editor

Isaiah Likely
7.49.511.6 Projected Points

TreVeyon Henderson
8.79.610.5 Projected Points
Isaiah Likely’s market
TreVeyon Henderson’s market
Why Isaiah Likely
Start· mediumStarting TE and pass-catching mismatch. Athletic seam-stretcher with red-zone flex ability.
30% target share and 11.6 projected points make Likely a clear TE1 play despite a 49% snap rate in a two-TE room.
- His pass-catching mismatch profile gives the Giants a reason to feature him even without a full-time snap share.
- Red-zone flexibility adds a scoring route beyond routine receptions.
The call
- A 30% target share over two games is elite usage for a tight end — even on 49% of snaps, he's being schemed the ball when he's on the field.
- 11.6 projected points at TE14 clears the bar over a typical waiver-wire tight end in a 12-team PPR league.
- Baltimore is a 3-point favorite with a 23.8 implied total, a neutral-to-positive script that keeps the offense on schedule and Likely in the route tree.
- The Tennessee defense grades 9 of 32 versus tight ends, but that's a two-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to bench a player with this target volume.
Latest on Likely
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why TreVeyon Henderson
Toss-UpRB2 and explosive change-of-pace back. Home-run speed with pass-protection and receiving value.
Toss-up — RB27 consensus, projects RB30 this week: 0% target share, 10.5 PPR projected vs JAX.
- Home-run speed gives Henderson a path to outproduce his role on a single explosive play.
- His pass-protection and receiving value could earn him a broader role.
Latest on Henderson
Henderson (ankle) is expected to return for the Patriots, but New England could be down its starting cornerback vs. the Steelers on Sunday.
Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson said Thursday he's "ready to go" for Sunday's game against the Steelers after missing New England's opener with an ankle injury.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Isaiah Likely | TreVeyon Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.49.511.6 | 8.79.610.5 |
| Consensus rank | TE14 | RB27 |
| Opponent vs position | TEN · 9 of 322-game sample | JAX · 12 of 322-game sample |
| Receptions | 15 of 32 | 24 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 1 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 16 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 13 of 32 | 8 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 3 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 10 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 3 of 32 |
| Target share | 30% | 0% |
| Reception share | 35% | 0% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.8-3.0 | 22.0+1.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | RB2 |
| Snap share | 59% | 60% |
| Start/Sit record | 1–1 | — |
Recent form
Isaiah Likely — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs LAR | 3.35.88.3 |
| Week 1 | vs DAL | 19.823.827.8 |
TreVeyon Henderson — last 2 weeks
| Week 2 | vs PIT | 13.613.613.6 |
| Week 1 | vs SEA | 0.00.00.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 11.6 vs 10.5 projected PPR pointsIsaiah Likely +
- Rank 14 vs 27Isaiah Likely +
- Opponent DvP rank 9 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 23.8 vs 22.0 team pointsIsaiah Likely +
- No injury designationseven
- 59% vs 60% snap shareTreVeyon Henderson +
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