Start Drake London over DJ Moore — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start London — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Drake London is the higher consensus play (WR8 to WR31) and projects 15.1 to Moore's 11.6. Moore's edge is the game script, 23.5 implied points to 19.8. The gap is wide.

DJ Moore

WR31BUFvs HOU

7.79.711.6 Projected Points

Start· medium

Drake London

WR8ATLvs PIT

9.012.115.1 Projected Points

Start

Why DJ Moore

Start· medium

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

WR31 with an 85% snap share in a one-score game (spread -1.5, 23.5 implied) — flex-worthy volume, even with a tough on-paper matchup.

HOU ranks 7 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share in 2025.

The call

The 11.6-point projection and WR31 consensus rank put him squarely in WR3/flex territory in 12-team PPR, ahead of a typical replacement option.
Role is locked in: 85% snap share over 17 games with a 16% target share, and no injury designation on the sheet.
Game script cooperates — a 1.5-point spread and a 23.5 implied total mean neither a blowout nor a run-out-the-clock script; he should see full-game volume.
Risk: the DvP composite ranks HOU 7 of 32 against the position, but that's a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't outweigh the usage; the reported move to Buffalo also adds target-share uncertainty in a new offense.

Why Drake London

Start

WR1 and primary target. Big-bodied X receiver who wins contested catches at the catch point with elite ball skills.

Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR8: PIT is the 8th-softest matchup vs WRs, 31% target share in 2025.

PIT ranks 25 of 32 against WRs (one of the softer matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 19.8 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 91% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	DJ Moore	Drake London
Projected points	7.79.711.6	9.012.115.1
Consensus rank	WR31	WR8
Opponent vs position	HOU · 7 of 320-game sample	PIT · 25 of 320-game sample
Receptions	4 of 32	30 of 32
Receiving Yards	11 of 32	28 of 32
Receiving TDs	5 of 32	22 of 32
Targets	12 of 32	29 of 32
Anytime TD	4 of 32	18 of 32
Target share	16%(2025)	31%(2025)
Reception share	15%(2025)	29%(2025)
Implied total · spread	23.5-1.5	19.8+3.0
Depth chart	WR1	WR1
Snap share	85%(2025)	91%(2025)