Start Lions D/ST over Titans D/ST — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start the Lions — the lineup-share and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Lions D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 8 to 19) and projects 7.4 to the Titans's 6.8. the Titans's edge is the opponent total, 18.3 to 20.8 opponent implied points. The gap is comfortable.

Lions D/ST

D/STDETvs NO

7.47.47.4 Projected Points

Start

Titans D/ST

D/STTENvs NYJ

6.86.86.8 Projected Points

Start

Why Lions D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 4 defensive matchup this week: 7.4 pts projected vs NO.

NO's offense gives up 3.1 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
Vegas has NO at 20.8 points as 7-point dogs.
Under-started: only 62% of leagues have them in, 8th among defenses, against a No. 4 matchup.

Why Titans D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 7 defensive matchup this week: NYJ gives up 3.8 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game, and Vegas has them at 18.3 points.

NYJ's offense gives up 3.8 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), well above league average.
Vegas has NYJ at 18.3 points as 3-point dogs.
Under-started: only 4% of leagues have them in, 19th among defenses, against a No. 7 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Lions D/ST	Titans D/ST
Projected points	7.47.47.4	6.86.86.8
Projection rank	Proj.DST4	Proj.DST7
Started in	62% of leagues	4% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game	3.1(2025)	3.8(2025)
Opponent turnovers / game	1.4(2025)	1.4(2025)
Opponent implied total	20.8	18.3
Home / away	Home	Home