Deebo Samuel Sr. or Wan'Dale Robinson: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The role is real: 72% snaps and a 24% target share as the WR-2 means volume is not in question, and that usage is what keeps him in the flex conversation despite the WR54 tag.
• The projection tells the other side of the story — 8.9 points and a 22.8 implied team total in a 3-point game point to a modest offensive environment, not a shootout that lifts his ceiling.
• The DvP composite (21 of 32) comes off a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no matchup edge to lean on in either direction — treat it as neutral.
• Tiebreaker: in full PPR he's a startable flex on target share alone; if you have a WR with a defined red-zone role or a better game script, sit him.

The call

• A 29% target share across 16 games is top-tier volume for any receiver; in full PPR that catch floor plays up well above his WR38 consensus rank.
• 91% snap share means he's never off the field — no rotational or game-script risk to his role as the WR-2 and primary underneath option.
• Vegas has the offense as a 3-point favorite with a 21.3 implied total: a neutral-to-positive script that keeps the passing volume steady without forcing a shootout.
• The knock is efficiency, not opportunity — his 10.4 projection reflects short-area targets, so he's a PPR flex rather than a ceiling play in standard scoring.