Davante Adams or Makai Lemon: Who Should You Start?

The call

• A 24% target share across 14 games is alpha-level volume — the WR-2 depth slot is a formation label, not a usage cap.
• 13.8 projected points at WR21 with no injury designation is a floor most 12-team PPR benches can't match.
• Team implied total of 25.8 as a 3-point favorite means enough scoring volume to support multiple touchdown-equity looks.
• The DvP composite (18 of 32) is drawn from a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so treat the matchup as neutral rather than a reason to bench.

The call

• Consensus has him at WR49 with an 8.5-point projection; in a 12-team PPR you're starting roughly 36 receivers, so that's replacement level at best.
• Depth-chart reality is the cap: he's the WR-3 in Philadelphia, so target volume runs through the top two options before him and there's no established snap or target share to lean on.
• The environment is fine — 26.0 implied team total as a 5.5-point favorite — but a favored script can also mean fewer pass attempts late, which hurts the third receiver most.
• The opponent DvP mark of 23 of 32 comes off a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no matchup edge here worth chasing. A clear injury ahead of him on the depth chart is what would flip this to a flex play.