Dalton Schultz or Justice Hill: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Schultz's concentrated receiving role beats Hill's favorable game script

Start Dalton Schultz: his lead pass-catching role gives him the cleaner path to usable PPR volume, despite facing the tougher positional matchup. SI/Texans On SI 2026-09-14 confirms Schultz as Houston's top receiving tight end, while Hill's firmly established RB2 role gives him a favorable script but less dependable weekly volume. The call is narrow rather than decisive: Schultz's risk is Cincinnati suppressing that concentrated target opportunity, while Hill's appeal rests on Baltimore sustaining its expected lead.

What flips it: A confirmed loss of Schultz's lead pass-catching role, or a clear expansion of Hill's workload.

Sources: SI/Texans On SI · Sep 14, 2026 · ESPN · Sep 17, 2026

AI editor

Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz

TE21HOUvs CIN

Projected Points

Start
Justice Hill

Justice Hill

RB51BALvs NO

Projected Points

Sit

Dalton Schultz’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
-131 / +103
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 40.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+230
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Justice Hill’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 13.5
-113 / -113
Rushing Yards Props →
REC YDS
O/U 13.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+500
Anytime Touchdown Props →
CIN@
HOUSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
NO@
BALSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Dalton Schultz

Start

TE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.

Start — TE21 consensus, projects TE18 this week: CIN is the 4th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 24.5 implied team total.

  • Schultz's lead receiving role gives him a steadier PPR path than a part-time back's workload.
  • His 22% target share matters more than the matchup label: Houston has a clear outlet over the middle.

Latest on Schultz

Role

Schultz was Houston's lead tight end pass-catcher in Week 1 with four catches for 35 yards, confirming his role as the top receiving option at the position.

SI/Texans On SI · Sep 14, 2026

Why Justice Hill

Sit

Change-of-pace RB2 and passing-down back. Receiving chops and pass protection in third-down packages.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB51: NO is the 7th-softest matchup vs RBs, 27.0 implied team total.

  • Baltimore's expected lead can create late-game work for Hill without requiring a breakout role.
  • ESPN 2026-09-17 confirms Hill is the primary change-of-pace and passing-down back, not a fringe reserve.

Latest on Hill

Role

Justice Hill played 31 of 68 offensive snaps in Week 1, not far behind Derrick Henry's 37, and is considered firmly entrenched as the Ravens' RB2 and primary change-of-pace/passing-down back with Rasheen Ali a distant third option heading into Week 2.

ESPN · Sep 17, 2026

Head-to-head stats

MetricDalton SchultzJustice Hill
Projected points
Consensus rankTE21RB51
Opponent vs positionCIN · 4 of 321-game sampleNO · 26 of 321-game sample
Receptions5 of 3225 of 32
Receiving Yards6 of 3223 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 32—
Targets6 of 32—
Anytime TD1 of 3222 of 32
Rushing Yards—30 of 32
Rushing TDs—28 of 32
Rushing Attempts—29 of 32
Target share22%4%
Reception share15%6%
Implied total · spread24.5-2.527.0-7.5
Depth chartTE1RB2
Snap share66%46%

Recent form

Dalton Schultz — last 1 week

Week 1vs BUF

Justice Hill — last 1 week

Week 1vs IND

Signal breakdown

  • 8.9 vs 7.7 projected PPR pointsDalton Schultz +
  • Rank 21 vs 51Dalton Schultz +
  • Opponent DvP rank 4 vs 26 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 24.5 vs 27.0 team pointsJustice Hill +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 66% vs 46% snap shareDalton Schultz +

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