Dallas Goedert or Quentin Johnston: Who Should You Start?

The call

• A 20% target share is elite usage for the position — Goedert is a genuine focal point in this passing game, not a matchup-dependent streamer.
• 85% snaps with the depth chart locked in (backup TE snaps go to E.J. Jenkins) means no role risk and no timeshare eating into his volume.
• A 26.0 implied team total as 5.5-point favorites is a friendly script: enough scoring for red-zone looks without a full run-out-the-clock grind.
• TE12 consensus with a 10.9 projection puts him at the borderline of streaming territory, so the ceiling is modest — but he clears a typical replacement TE comfortably.

The call

• Vegas loves this spot: a 28.5 implied team total with the Chargers favored by 11.5 means plenty of scoring chances, and Johnston owns a 20% target share across 13 games.
• Role is locked in — WR-2 with a 79% snap share, no injury designation, so the volume floor is real rather than projection-driven.
• The 10.4 PPR projection and WR47 consensus rank cap this as a flex play, not a set-and-forget starter; the big blowout spread could also shorten the passing script late.
• Upside is the tiebreaker: he's the outside-aligned target who has already turned a Herbert throw into a 65-yard score, so one deep shot beats a replacement-level WR's whole day.