Chris Godwin Jr. or DJ Moore: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The role is legitimate — 71% snap share and an 18% target share over nine games means Godwin is on the field and in the route mix every week, which is the floor PPR formats reward.
• The projection is the problem: 9.7 points and a WR45 consensus rank put him right at replacement level in a 12-team league, and a 23.5 implied team total doesn't promise a shootout to inflate that.
• The DvP composite lists Cincinnati as the 3rd-toughest matchup for the position, but it's a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence — don't let that number move the needle either direction.
• Tip it toward start if you're chasing volume in a full-PPR flex and Tampa Bay is chasing points late as 3.5-point underdogs; tip it toward sit if you have a WR with a cleaner target monopoly.

The call

• The 11.6-point projection and WR31 consensus rank put him squarely in WR3/flex territory in 12-team PPR, ahead of a typical replacement option.
• Role is locked in: 85% snap share over 17 games with a 16% target share, and no injury designation on the sheet.
• Game script cooperates — a 1.5-point spread and a 23.5 implied total mean neither a blowout nor a run-out-the-clock script; he should see full-game volume.
• Risk: the DvP composite ranks HOU 7 of 32 against the position, but that's a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't outweigh the usage; the reported move to Buffalo also adds target-share uncertainty in a new offense.