Brian Thomas Jr. or Sam LaPorta: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
LaPorta’s workload wins, but Thomas remains a sturdy fallback
Start Sam LaPorta: his every-down role in Detroit’s higher-scoring setup gives him the better weekly floor, and the narrow projection edge matters more at tight end than at wide receiver. Brian Thomas Jr. has the cleaner availability and a real alpha case, with a vertical role that can produce a splash play against Cleveland, but Jacksonville’s lower scoring expectation leaves less margin for that outcome. LaPorta’s questionable tag is the actual risk; Sports Illustrated (Lions On SI) 2026-09-06 confirms he remains Detroit’s starting tight end, so start him if active.
What flips it: LaPorta is ruled out or does not clear his questionable tag.
Sources: Sports Illustrated (Lions On SI) · Sep 6, 2026
AI editor

Brian Thomas Jr.
7.08.510.1 Projected Points

Sam LaPorta
6.58.711.0 Projected Points
Why Brian Thomas Jr.
Start· mediumWR1 and primary vertical threat. Long-striding field-stretcher with contested-catch radius; bounce-back candidate after inefficient season.
20% target share on 78% of snaps is an alpha role — that volume plays as a flex even with a modest WR42 consensus tag and 10.1 projection.
- Thomas’ downfield role gives him the bigger single-play ceiling if Jacksonville plays from ahead.
- His clean availability makes him the safer contingency if LaPorta’s tag worsens.
The call
- The usage is the case: 78% snap share and a 20% target share across 14 games makes him the clear No. 1 read in this passing game, and target volume is the most stable input in PPR.
- The WR42 consensus rank and 10.1 projection put him at the low end of startable, but that number is priced off projection, not role — a 20% target share player rarely finishes as a true bench option.
- The DvP composite shows Cleveland at 10 of 32 (tougher half), but it's a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't override the volume read.
- Main risk is game script: Jacksonville is a 7.5-point favorite with a 24.0 implied total, so a comfortable lead could pull pass attempts down in the fourth quarter.
Why Sam LaPorta
Start· mediumTE1 and pass-catching mismatch. Reliable seam and intermediate target when healthy.
TE6 with a 91% snap share and 17% target share on a 27.8-point implied total — start him if the questionable tag clears.
- Detroit’s full-time tight-end role supports a steadier floor than Thomas’ more splash-dependent profile.
- The starting designation is intact, but his value hinges on clearing the questionable tag.
The call
- 11.0 projected points and a TE6 consensus rank put LaPorta well above replacement at a thin position; that's a lineup lock in a 12-team PPR when he's active.
- Role is bulletproof: 91% snap share and a 17% target share over nine games make him the clear pass-game centerpiece at tight end.
- Detroit's 27.8 implied total as a 7-point favorite means volume and red-zone looks even if the game script tilts run-heavy late.
- The only real wrinkle is the questionable designation and a New Orleans DvP that sits 13 of 32 — but that matchup grade carries a 0-game sample and 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't move the needle. Confirm his status pregame.
Latest on LaPorta
LaPorta is listed as the starting tight end on Detroit's updated offensive depth chart ahead of the regular season.
Sports Illustrated (Lions On SI) · Sep 6, 2026Lions starting safeties Brian Branch (Achilles) and Kerby Joseph (knee), who will both miss the first four games of the season, are expected to return at some point, according to GM Brad Holmes
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Brian Thomas Jr. | Sam LaPorta |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.08.510.1 | 6.58.711.0 |
| Consensus rank | WR42 | TE6 |
| Opponent vs position | CLE · 10 of 320-game sample | NO · 13 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 3 of 32 | 14 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 1 of 32 | 14 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 22 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Targets | 3 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 22 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Target share | 20%(2025) | 17%(2025) |
| Reception share | 17%(2025) | 19%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 24.0-7.5 | 27.8-7.0 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 78%(2025) | 91%(2025) |
| Injury designation | — | Questionable |
Signal breakdown
- 10.1 vs 11.0 projected PPR pointsSam LaPorta +
- Rank 42 vs 6Sam LaPorta +
- Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 13 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 24.0 vs 27.8 team pointsSam LaPorta +
- no designation vs QuestionableBrian Thomas Jr. +
- 78% vs 91% snap shareSam LaPorta +
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