Bhayshul Tuten or Jake Ferguson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Ferguson — the consensus rank and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Jake Ferguson is the higher consensus play (TE12 to RB21) and plays in the better game script (28.0 implied team points to 20.5). Tuten's edge is the projection, 10.0 to 9.6. The gap is wide.

Bhayshul Tuten

Bhayshul Tuten

RB21JAXvs DEN

Projected Points

Sit
Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson

TE12DALvs WSH

Projected Points

Start· medium

Bhayshul Tuten’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 49.5
-114 / -110
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 1.5
+102 / -130
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 8.5
-117 / -107
Receiving Yards Props →

Jake Ferguson’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+111 / -142
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 27.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Bhayshul Tuten

Sit

Explosive RB with elite straight-line speed. Home-run threat splitting carries in the Jacksonville backfield.

Sit — RB21 consensus, projects RB33 this week: DEN is the 8th-softest matchup vs RBs, 5% target share.

  • DEN ranks 25 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 20.5 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 49% snap share.

Latest on Tuten

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Jake Ferguson

Start· medium

TE1 and high-volume receiving tight end. Reliable chain-mover and red-zone target over the middle.

TE12 with a 28.0-point implied team total and 76% snaps as Dallas' unquestioned No. 1 tight end — Week 1 dud was volume noise, not a role change.

  • WSH ranks 20 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 28.0 team points as 4.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 76% snap share.

The call

  • Dallas is projected for 28.0 implied points as a 4.5-point favorite, and Ferguson is the locked-in TE1 at a 76% snap share — that's a high-scoring offense funneling through a full-time player.
  • The 7% target share is the one red flag, but it's a single-game sample off a two-catch, six-yard Week 1; ESPN (9/15) reports he remains the unquestioned No. 1 tight end and is expected to be more involved vs. Washington.
  • Washington grades 20 of 32 in DvP composite vs tight ends — a mildly favorable draw, though it's a one-game sample with zero confidence, so the matchup neither makes nor breaks the call.
  • At 9.6 projected points and a TE12 consensus rank, he clears the typical 12-team replacement TE comfortably; the floor is thin if the target share stays at 7%, but the role and game environment justify the start.

Latest on Ferguson

Role

Jake Ferguson had a disappointing Week 1 with just two catches for six yards, but remains the unquestioned No. 1 tight end and is expected to be more involved in Week 2 against Washington.

ESPN · Sep 15, 2026

Prescott needs four TDs to pass Tony Romo in the record book, so we sought the best moments from those who are helping him make history.

ESPN · Sep 16, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBhayshul TutenJake Ferguson
Projected points
Consensus rankRB21TE12
Opponent vs positionDEN · 25 of 321-game sampleWSH · 20 of 321-game sample
Rushing Yards31 of 32
Rushing TDs15 of 32
Rushing Attempts29 of 32
Receptions21 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards30 of 3224 of 32
Anytime TD22 of 3230 of 32
Receiving TDs30 of 32
Targets6 of 32
Target share5%7%
Reception share6%9%
Implied total · spread20.5+2.528.0-4.5
Depth chartRB1TE1
Snap share49%76%
Start/Sit record00+1 toss-up01

Recent form

Bhayshul Tuten — last 1 week

Week 1vs CLE

Jake Ferguson — last 1 week

Week 1vs NYG

Signal breakdown

  • 10.0 vs 9.6 projected PPR pointsBhayshul Tuten +
  • Rank 21 vs 12Jake Ferguson +
  • Opponent DvP rank 25 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 20.5 vs 28.0 team pointsJake Ferguson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 49% vs 76% snap shareJake Ferguson +

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