Bhayshul Tuten or Isaiah Likely: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Likely's big-slot path edges Tuten's favorable script
Likely gets the call because his receiving role is more bankable than Tuten's split-backfield assignment, especially with projected big-slot usage noted by Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) 2026-09-02. Tuten has the better game script and explosive profile, but his questionable tag makes that upside dependent on news rather than established opportunity. Likely faces the tougher matchup and carries a modest ceiling, yet his stable role and availability outweigh Tuten's raw projection edge. The risk is that the Giants' big-slot plan does not translate into enough end-zone or target volume.
What flips it: Tuten is cleared and confirmed for a materially expanded workload.
Sources: Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) · Sep 2, 2026
AI editor

Bhayshul Tuten
10.711.812.9 Projected Points

Isaiah Likely
5.67.59.4 Projected Points
Why Bhayshul Tuten
Toss-Up· mediumExplosive RB with elite straight-line speed. Home-run threat splitting carries in the Jacksonville backfield.
RB26 at 12.9 projected with a favorable -7.5 script, but a 21% snap share and questionable tag make him a bet on news, not role.
- Jacksonville's projected lead script gives his breakaway speed a clear path to splash plays.
- His upside is tied to scoring chances, but the backfield split leaves little margin for missed snaps.
The call
- The script is the selling point: Jacksonville favored by 7.5 with a 24.0 implied total is the run-heavy, fourth-quarter-clock profile that turns a committee back into a usable flex.
- The role is the problem — 21% snap share and a 3% target share over 15 games means his 12.9 projection is banking on a workload he hasn't consistently held, and PPR value is capped without passing-game work.
- Questionable status stacks risk on top of that; if he's limited or splits early-down work, this is a 6-8 point floor game.
- Cleveland grades middle of the pack (17 of 32 DvP) on a 0-game sample with zero confidence, so the matchup neither rescues nor sinks the call — tip it to start only if he's cleared with an expanded role, otherwise take a locked-in replacement.
Why Isaiah Likely
Toss-Up· mediumStarting TE and pass-catching mismatch. Athletic seam-stretcher with red-zone flex ability.
TE12 at 9.4 projected is exactly replacement level — a 14% target share and tough DAL matchup (10 of 32) cap the ceiling, but big-slot usage is the tiebreaker.
- Big-slot deployment can keep him involved even if Dallas limits his downfield seam work.
- His established receiving role is safer than Tuten's contingent workload in a flex decision.
The call
- Consensus has him TE12 at 9.4 PPR points, literally the last starting tight end in a 12-team league — no margin over a typical waiver TE.
- Role is real but not dominant: 59% snap share and a 14% target share over 11 games means he needs volume or a red-zone look to clear his projection.
- Matchup leans the wrong way — Dallas grades 10 of 32 on the DvP composite (32 = softest), though the 0-game sample means low confidence in that read.
- Reported plan to use him as a 'big slot receiver' with only five wide receivers available is the tipping point: if that materializes and Nabers is limited, his target share jumps and he becomes a start; if he's back to a standard TE snap count, sit him.
Latest on Likely
With only five wide receivers on the projected depth chart, the Giants plan to deploy tight end Isaiah Likely as a 'big slot receiver' to offset a possible shortage if Malik Nabers isn't fully ready for Week 1.
Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) · Sep 2, 2026Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Bhayshul Tuten | Isaiah Likely |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 10.711.812.9 | 5.67.59.4 |
| Consensus rank | RB26 | TE12 |
| Opponent vs position | CLE · 17 of 320-game sample | DAL · 10 of 320-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 18 of 32 | — |
| Rushing TDs | 12 of 32 | — |
| Rushing Attempts | 22 of 32 | — |
| Receptions | 15 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 12 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 20 of 32 | 5 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | — | 6 of 32 |
| Targets | — | 9 of 32 |
| Target share | 3%(2025) | 14%(2025) |
| Reception share | 3%(2025) | 15%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 24.0-7.5 | 23.5+1.5 |
| Depth chart | RB1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 21%(2025) | 59%(2025) |
| Injury designation | Questionable | — |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | 0–0+1 toss-up |
Signal breakdown
- 12.9 vs 9.4 projected PPR pointsBhayshul Tuten +
- Rank 26 vs 12Isaiah Likely +
- Opponent DvP rank 17 vs 10 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 24.0 vs 23.5 team pointsBhayshul Tuten +
- Questionable vs no designationIsaiah Likely +
- 21% vs 59% snap shareIsaiah Likely +
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