Bhayshul Tuten or Isaiah Likely: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Likely's big-slot path edges Tuten's favorable script

Likely gets the call because his receiving role is more bankable than Tuten's split-backfield assignment, especially with projected big-slot usage noted by Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) 2026-09-02. Tuten has the better game script and explosive profile, but his questionable tag makes that upside dependent on news rather than established opportunity. Likely faces the tougher matchup and carries a modest ceiling, yet his stable role and availability outweigh Tuten's raw projection edge. The risk is that the Giants' big-slot plan does not translate into enough end-zone or target volume.

What flips it: Tuten is cleared and confirmed for a materially expanded workload.

Sources: Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) · Sep 2, 2026

AI editor

Bhayshul Tuten

Bhayshul Tuten

RB26JAXvs CLE

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium
Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely

TE12NYGvs DAL

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Why Bhayshul Tuten

Toss-Up· medium

Explosive RB with elite straight-line speed. Home-run threat splitting carries in the Jacksonville backfield.

RB26 at 12.9 projected with a favorable -7.5 script, but a 21% snap share and questionable tag make him a bet on news, not role.

  • Jacksonville's projected lead script gives his breakaway speed a clear path to splash plays.
  • His upside is tied to scoring chances, but the backfield split leaves little margin for missed snaps.

The call

  • The script is the selling point: Jacksonville favored by 7.5 with a 24.0 implied total is the run-heavy, fourth-quarter-clock profile that turns a committee back into a usable flex.
  • The role is the problem — 21% snap share and a 3% target share over 15 games means his 12.9 projection is banking on a workload he hasn't consistently held, and PPR value is capped without passing-game work.
  • Questionable status stacks risk on top of that; if he's limited or splits early-down work, this is a 6-8 point floor game.
  • Cleveland grades middle of the pack (17 of 32 DvP) on a 0-game sample with zero confidence, so the matchup neither rescues nor sinks the call — tip it to start only if he's cleared with an expanded role, otherwise take a locked-in replacement.

Why Isaiah Likely

Toss-Up· medium

Starting TE and pass-catching mismatch. Athletic seam-stretcher with red-zone flex ability.

TE12 at 9.4 projected is exactly replacement level — a 14% target share and tough DAL matchup (10 of 32) cap the ceiling, but big-slot usage is the tiebreaker.

  • Big-slot deployment can keep him involved even if Dallas limits his downfield seam work.
  • His established receiving role is safer than Tuten's contingent workload in a flex decision.

The call

  • Consensus has him TE12 at 9.4 PPR points, literally the last starting tight end in a 12-team league — no margin over a typical waiver TE.
  • Role is real but not dominant: 59% snap share and a 14% target share over 11 games means he needs volume or a red-zone look to clear his projection.
  • Matchup leans the wrong way — Dallas grades 10 of 32 on the DvP composite (32 = softest), though the 0-game sample means low confidence in that read.
  • Reported plan to use him as a 'big slot receiver' with only five wide receivers available is the tipping point: if that materializes and Nabers is limited, his target share jumps and he becomes a start; if he's back to a standard TE snap count, sit him.

Latest on Likely

Scheme

With only five wide receivers on the projected depth chart, the Giants plan to deploy tight end Isaiah Likely as a 'big slot receiver' to offset a possible shortage if Malik Nabers isn't fully ready for Week 1.

Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) · Sep 2, 2026

Head-to-head stats

MetricBhayshul TutenIsaiah Likely
Projected points
Consensus rankRB26TE12
Opponent vs positionCLE · 17 of 320-game sampleDAL · 10 of 320-game sample
Rushing Yards18 of 32
Rushing TDs12 of 32
Rushing Attempts22 of 32
Receptions15 of 3216 of 32
Receiving Yards12 of 3216 of 32
Anytime TD20 of 325 of 32
Receiving TDs6 of 32
Targets9 of 32
Target share3%(2025)14%(2025)
Reception share3%(2025)15%(2025)
Implied total · spread24.0-7.523.5+1.5
Depth chartRB1TE1
Snap share21%(2025)59%(2025)
Injury designationQuestionable
Start/Sit record00+1 toss-up00+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 12.9 vs 9.4 projected PPR pointsBhayshul Tuten +
  • Rank 26 vs 12Isaiah Likely +
  • Opponent DvP rank 17 vs 10 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 24.0 vs 23.5 team pointsBhayshul Tuten +
  • Questionable vs no designationIsaiah Likely +
  • 21% vs 59% snap shareIsaiah Likely +

Compare different players

Week 1243 players
Player A
vs
Player B

Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.

This week’s toughest calls

Want full matchup analysis & AI picks? →

Save your roster and get a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up call on every player, every week — plus prop pages, matchup data, and AI-powered NFL analysis.

Add to My Team — free

Or browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.