Bhayshul Tuten or Garrett Wilson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Wilson — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Garrett Wilson is the higher consensus play (WR13 to RB21) and projects 14.8 to Tuten's 12.8. Tuten's edge is the game script, 24.0 implied points to 18.3. The gap is comfortable.
In standard scoring this is a coin flip.
Bhayshul Tuten
10.711.812.8 Projected Points
Garrett Wilson
8.911.814.8 Projected Points
Bhayshul Tuten’s market
Garrett Wilson’s market
Why Bhayshul Tuten
Toss-Up· mediumExplosive RB with elite straight-line speed. Home-run threat splitting carries in the Jacksonville backfield.
RB21 at 12.8 with a -7.5 spread is flex-worthy, but a 21% snap share and 3% target share cap the floor until the backfield split clears.
- Vegas implies 24.0 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 21% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Game script is the best thing going for him: Jacksonville is favored by 7.5 with a 24.0 implied total, the profile that turns into late-game carries for whoever is on the field.
- The role is the problem — 21% snap share and a 3% target share over 15 games means he is a rotational piece, not a volume back, and PPR points are hard to find without targets.
- Consensus has him RB21 at 12.8 projected points, which is squarely startable in a 12-team PPR, so the projection and the usage are telling different stories.
- Availability is clean — no designation, and he was left off the first Week 1 injury report per ESPN (2026-09-09). What tips this to a start is early-game evidence he is handling the two-minute and clock-killing work; if it's a near-even split, take the safer flex.
Latest on Tuten
Tuten was not included on the Jaguars' first Week 1 injury report despite missing practice with illness the previous week, suggesting he is fully healthy heading into the opener against Cleveland.
ESPN · Sep 9, 2026Why Garrett Wilson
StartWR1 and alpha target. Elite separation quickness and contested-catch skill; missed time cut his sample last season.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR13: 18.3 implied team total caps the ceiling, 30% target share in 2025.
- Vegas implies 18.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 87% snap share in 2025.
Latest on Wilson
New York is eager to end drought, but it's also ready to see what No. 2 pick David Bailey will do in his debut.
The Fifth-Year WR: ‘Something’s Going to Happen This Year’
Garrett Wilson said breaking the Jets' 15-year playoff drought feels "very realistic" and went as far as stating that was the goal this season.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Bhayshul Tuten | Garrett Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 10.711.812.8 | 8.911.814.8 |
| Consensus rank | RB21 | WR13 |
| Opponent vs position | CLEno ranking yet | TENno ranking yet |
| Target share | 3%(2025) | 30%(2025) |
| Reception share | 3%(2025) | 29%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 24.0-7.5 | 18.3+3.0 |
| Depth chart | RB1 | WR1 |
| Snap share | 21%(2025) | 87%(2025) |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | — |
Signal breakdown
- 12.8 vs 14.8 projected PPR pointsGarrett Wilson +
- Rank 21 vs 13Garrett Wilson +
- Matchup (DvP composite)even
- Implied 24.0 vs 18.3 team pointsBhayshul Tuten +
- No injury designationseven
- 21% vs 87% snap shareGarrett Wilson +
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