Alec Pierce or DJ Moore: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role isn't the issue: 86% snap share and an 18% target share over 15 games means he's on the field for everything Indy runs.
• The problem is the price of admission — WR47 at 9.7 projected points sits below the typical WR3/flex cut line in a 12-team PPR league, and PPR scoring doesn't flatter a low-volume field-stretcher.
• Availability is the swing factor: the sheet lists him as PUP-P with status normalized to unknown, so this call is unstartable until his game status clears.
• Matchup offers no tiebreaker — the DvP composite ranks Baltimore 24 of 32 (softer end) but it's built on a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so treat it as noise. A 23.0 implied total with a 3.5-point spread points to a competitive script rather than a pass-heavy chase.

The call

• Role is safe: 85% snap share as an outside WR means volume floor, but a 16% target share over 17 games is a WR3-level workload, not a difference-maker.
• Houston grades 7 of 32 in DvP composite (32 = softest), one of the tougher draws on the board — though the 0-game sample and 0.00 confidence mean that number shouldn't be treated as gospel.
• Game script is neutral-to-fine: 23.5 implied team total with a -1.5 spread points to a close, competitive game rather than a pass-heavy chase or a run-out-the-clock blowout.
• WR31 at 11.6 projected is right at the 12-team flex line — start him if your alternative is a bench-level WR4, sit him if you have a higher-target-share option.