Aaron Rodgers or Malik Willis: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Rodgers — the snap share and game script edges are too wide to ignore.
Aaron Rodgers plays a 96% snap share to Willis's 42% and plays in the better game script (22.8 implied team points to 19.3). Willis's edge is the consensus rank, QB21 to QB24. The gap is narrow.
Aaron Rodgers
14.814.814.8 Projected Points
Malik Willis
15.115.115.1 Projected Points
Why Aaron Rodgers
StartStarting QB and late-career franchise stabilizer. Elite processor and anticipation thrower with diminished mobility.
Start — QB24 by consensus and projection: 96% snap share in 2025, 14.8 PPR projected vs ATL.
- Vegas implies 22.8 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 96% snap share in 2025.
Latest on Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers asked Father Paul to bless the quarterbacks during training camp.
The story behind Steelers' viral field blessing: 'God doesn't pick sides'ESPN · Sep 6, 2026The 42-year-old quarterback is in new territory, but he says Pittsburgh's young passers are ahead of where he was as a rookie.
LaFleur recently said Love is "the best I've been around in terms of protections and adjustments."
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Malik Willis
Toss-UpStarting QB with dual-threat mobility. Strong arm and designed-run value; a career backup signed in free agency to take over the job.
Toss-up — QB21 consensus, projects QB22 this week: 42% snap share in 2025, 15.1 PPR projected vs LV.
- Vegas implies 19.3 team points as 3.0-point underdogs.
- Listed QB on the latest depth chart with a 42% snap share in 2025.
Latest on Willis
Malik Willis is preparing to start the season opener as QB1.
Transcript: QB Malik Willis Press Conference - September 9miamidolphins.com · Sep 9, 2026Malik Willis is no longer on the Packers; he signed with the Miami Dolphins in free agency and is now Miami's starting quarterback for 2026, so any Green Bay-based stat sample for him predates this offseason move.
Yahoo Sports · Sep 1, 2026Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Aaron Rodgers | Malik Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 14.814.814.8 | 15.115.115.1 |
| Consensus rank | QB24 | QB21 |
| Opponent vs position | ATLno ranking yet | LVno ranking yet |
| Implied total · spread | 22.8-3.0 | 19.3+3.0 |
| Depth chart | QB1 | QB1 |
| Snap share | 96%(2025) | 42%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 14.8 vs 15.1 projected PPR pointsMalik Willis +
- Rank 24 vs 21Malik Willis +
- Matchup (DvP composite)even
- Implied 22.8 vs 19.3 team pointsAaron Rodgers +
- No injury designationseven
- 96% vs 42% snap shareAaron Rodgers +
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