Terrance Ferguson or Tyler Warren: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Warren's every-down role outweighs Ferguson's better scoring environment
Start Tyler Warren: his every-down mismatch role gives him a sturdier PPR floor than Terrance Ferguson's part-time deployment. Warren's receiving and gadget-rushing profile fits a high-volume role, though Indianapolis' modest scoring outlook and only five Week 1 targets despite trailing are real risks (ESPN 2026-09-20). Ferguson has the better game environment, but his limited involvement has not caught up with his stated desire to contribute in every phase (therams.com 2026-09-07).
What flips it: A confirmed expansion of Ferguson's route and red-zone role.
Sources: ESPN · Sep 20, 2026 · therams.com · Sep 7, 2026
AI editor
Terrance Ferguson
3.95.06.0 Projected Points
Tyler Warren
6.69.011.4 Projected Points
Terrance Ferguson’s market
Tyler Warren’s market
Why Terrance Ferguson
SitSit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE22: NYG is the 7th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 28.5 implied team total.
- A likely Rams lead could create late red-zone chances, but Ferguson needs a major role expansion to access them.
- The favorable team outlook helps, yet his current route and target access makes that scoring environment difficult to trust.
Latest on Ferguson
Feeling more comfortable in the Rams' offense, second-year tight end Terrance Ferguson hoping to show more of what he's capable of in 2026.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Tyler Warren
StartTE1 and high-volume mismatch receiver. Move-piece with contested-catch strength and gadget rushing usage.
Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE4: 17% target share, 11.4 PPR projected vs KC.
- Warren's move-piece skill set gives him multiple paths to points beyond conventional tight-end targets.
- The downside is a lower team total, while Week 1 showed that even a negative script may not guarantee heavy volume.
Latest on Warren
Warren saw only five targets in Week 1 despite the Colts trailing throughout the game.
How to bet Colts-Chiefs on 'SNF': Analysis, tips and favorite playsESPN · Sep 20, 2026Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Terrance Ferguson | Tyler Warren |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.95.06.0 | 6.69.011.4 |
| Consensus rank | TE22 | TE4 |
| Opponent vs position | NYG · 7 of 321-game sample | KC · 20 of 321-game sample |
| Receptions | 14 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 11 of 32 | 17 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Targets | 6 of 32 | 22 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 1 of 32 | 20 of 32 |
| Target share | 4% | 17% |
| Reception share | 0% | 16% |
| Implied total · spread | 28.5-8.5 | 20.5+6.5 |
| Depth chart | TE3 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 51% | 93% |
Recent form
Terrance Ferguson — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs SF | 0.00.00.0 |
Tyler Warren — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs BAL | 7.38.810.3 |
Signal breakdown
- 6.0 vs 11.4 projected PPR pointsTyler Warren +
- Rank 22 vs 4Tyler Warren +
- Opponent DvP rank 7 vs 20 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 28.5 vs 20.5 team pointsTerrance Ferguson +
- No injury designationseven
- 51% vs 93% snap shareTyler Warren +
Compare different players
Every fantasy-relevant player this week — search or filter by position.
More Ferguson comparisons
More Warren comparisons
This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs NYG
C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs LAR
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs LARD. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs MIN
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs MINB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CLE
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CLED. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs CIN
- D. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs CINJ. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs ARI
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs ARIR. StevensonRhamondre StevensonRBNEvs PIT
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs NYG
J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs BUF
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs BUFL. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs MIN
- L. Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWRCHIvs MINM. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs MIA
- M. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs MIAC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs NYJ
- C. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs NYJC. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs JAX
- C. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs JAXM. GoldenMatthew GoldenWRGBvs NYJ
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs CAR
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs MIA
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs MIAS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs BUF
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs BUFT. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs NYJ
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs NYJT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs IND
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs INDD. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs TEN
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs TENJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs WSH
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs WSH
J. DartJaxson DartQBNYGvs LAR
- J. DartJaxson DartQBNYGvs LARJ. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs LV
- J. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs LVC. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs MIN
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs MINB. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs MIA
- B. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs MIAP. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs IND
- P. MahomesPatrick MahomesQBKCvs INDB. NixBo NixQBDENvs JAX
- B. AubreyBrandon AubreyKDALvs WSH
K. FairbairnKa'imi FairbairnKHOUvs CIN
- K. FairbairnKa'imi FairbairnKHOUvs CINH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs IND
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs INDT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs NO
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs NOC. SantosCairo SantosKCHIvs MIN
- C. SantosCairo SantosKCHIvs MINC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CLE
- C. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CLEN. FolkNick FolkKATLvs CAR
- Buccaneers D/STBuccaneers D/STDSTTBvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs LV
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs LVBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs MIN
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs MIN49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs MIA
- 49ers D/ST49ers D/STDSTSFvs MIABroncos D/STBroncos D/STDSTDENvs JAX
- Broncos D/STBroncos D/STDSTDENvs JAXPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs NYJ
- Packers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs NYJPanthers D/STPanthers D/STDSTCARvs ATL
- A. Jones Sr.Aaron Jones Sr.RBMINvs CHI
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs NYG - D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs NYGD. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs MIN
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs ARIM. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs MIA
- M. EvansMike EvansWRSFvs MIAR. StevensonRhamondre StevensonRBNEvs PIT
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs LARC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs NYJ
- J. CokerJalen CokerWRCARvs ATL
J. DobbinsJ.K. DobbinsRBDENvs JAX
- J. WarrenJaylen WarrenRBPITvs NE
S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs BUF - S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs BUFM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs NYJ
Get a Start/Sit call on your whole roster →
Save your team once and see a Start, Sit, or Toss-Up verdict on every player, every week — with the matchup, usage and game-script evidence behind each call.
Add to My Team — freeOr browse this week’s NFL games or NFL player props.