Michael Mayer or Sam LaPorta: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start LaPorta — the game script and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Sam LaPorta plays in the better game script (27.8 implied team points to 22.3) and projects 11.0 to Mayer's 9.3. No signal favors Mayer this week. The gap is comfortable.

Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer

TELVvs MIA

Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium
Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta

TE8DETvs NO

Projected Points

Start· high

Michael Mayer’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
-114 / -111
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 39.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →

Sam LaPorta’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
+119 / -151
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 43.5
-109 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →

Why Michael Mayer

Toss-Up· medium

TE2 in complementary role. Physical in-line blocker with reliable short-to-intermediate hands behind the starter.

Locked-in starting TE with 9.3 projected PPR, but a 13% target share and modest 22.3 implied total cap the ceiling — a TD-or-bust streamer.

  • Vegas implies 22.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 62% snap share in 2025.

The call

  • Role is secure: named the Raiders' starting tight end in Week 1 and just signed a multi-year extension, with a 62% snap share across 13 games to back it up.
  • The usage is the problem — a 13% target share means Mayer needs a red-zone score to clear his 9.3-point projection rather than getting there on volume.
  • Game script is neutral-to-fine: Las Vegas is a 3-point favorite with a 22.3 implied total, so no shootout tailwind and no garbage-time passing boost either.
  • Tip it toward start if your alternative is a sub-8-point TE or you need touchdown equity; sit him if you roster a higher-target-share tight end.

Latest on Mayer

Role

Michael Mayer will be the Raiders' starting tight end in Week 1 against the Miami Dolphins.

Raiders TE Michael Mayer gets 3-year, $45M extension, sources sayESPN · Sep 12, 2026

Mayer has totaled 83 receptions for 788 receiving yards (9.5 avg.) and three touchdowns over 38 games (32 starts) in his first three NFL seasons.

raiders.com · Sep 12, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Sam LaPorta

Start· high

TE1 and pass-catching mismatch. Reliable seam and intermediate target when healthy.

TE8 with a 91% snap share and 17% target share in Detroit's 27.8-point implied offense — locked-in every-week starter.

  • Vegas implies 27.8 team points as 7.0-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 91% snap share in 2025.

The call

  • Role is airtight: 91% snap share and a 17% target share as the listed starting tight end, with no injury designation anywhere on the report.
  • Detroit's 27.8 implied total is among the week's highest, and a -7.0 spread points to a comfortable game script where LaPorta stays central to the red-zone passing plan.
  • 11.0 projected points at TE8 clears the weekly bar at a position where replacement options rarely reach double digits.
  • Only real risk is a blowout that shifts Detroit to the run late, which caps upside more than it threatens the floor.

Latest on LaPorta

Status

LaPorta has not appeared on Detroit's injury report at all during Week 1 preparations, an encouraging sign that clears him to start the season fully healthy.

Sports Illustrated (Lions On SI) · Sep 10, 2026
Role

LaPorta is listed as the starting tight end on Detroit's updated offensive depth chart ahead of the regular season.

Sports Illustrated (Lions On SI) · Sep 6, 2026

Lions starting safeties Brian Branch (Achilles) and Kerby Joseph (knee), who will both miss the first four games of the season, are expected to return at some point, according to GM Brad Holmes

ESPN · Sep 2, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricMichael MayerSam LaPorta
Projected points
Consensus rankTE8
Opponent vs positionMIAno ranking yetNOno ranking yet
Target share13%(2025)17%(2025)
Reception share14%(2025)19%(2025)
Implied total · spread22.3-3.027.8-7.0
Depth chartTE2TE1
Snap share62%(2025)91%(2025)
Start/Sit record00+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 9.3 vs 11.0 projected PPR pointsSam LaPorta +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Matchup (DvP composite)even
  • Implied 22.3 vs 27.8 team pointsSam LaPorta +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 62% vs 91% snap shareSam LaPorta +

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