MarShawn Lloyd or Tucker Kraft: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Two separate reports peg Lloyd as the Packers' lead back with Josh Jacobs unavailable, and specifically in line for 15-to-20 touches rather than a change-of-pace share — that's the single biggest signal on this sheet.
• 12.6 projected PPR points and an RB24 consensus rank already clear the bar for a 12-team RB2/flex, and the volume note suggests the projection is closer to a floor than a ceiling.
• Game script cooperates: Green Bay is a 1.5-point favorite with a 23.0 implied total, so no obvious pass-first, chase-the-game setup that would cap his carries.
• Risk is efficiency and inexperience in a first real lead role against Minnesota, plus the chance Green Bay splits work more evenly than reported — but no injury designation and a locked RB slot keep this on the start side.

The call

• Role is as locked in as it gets at the position: 86% snap share and a 20% target share over eight games — that's not a rotational tight end, that's a primary passing-game option.
• No injury designation, so the workload projects forward cleanly rather than being capped by a questionable tag.
• Consensus TE12 at 9.0 projected PPR points is right at the starter line, and target-share-driven TEs are the safer half of that tier in PPR.
• Risk is the game environment: a 23.0 implied team total and a -1.5 spread mean a tight, moderate-scoring script, so the ceiling depends on red-zone looks rather than volume alone.