MarShawn Lloyd or Quentin Johnston: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Lloyd — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
MarShawn Lloyd is the higher consensus play (RB33 to WR48) and projects 13.5 to Johnston's 10.4. Johnston's edge is the game script, 28.5 implied points to 23.0. The gap is comfortable.
MarShawn Lloyd
11.612.613.5 Projected Points
Quentin Johnston
7.38.810.4 Projected Points
Why MarShawn Lloyd
StartStart — RB33 consensus, projects RB20 this week: 13.5 PPR projected vs MIN.
- Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart.
Latest on Lloyd
When to draft MarShawn Lloyd, Josh Jacobs and other Green Bay Packers running backs.
ESPN · Aug 31, 2026
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Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Quentin Johnston
Start· mediumOutside WR2 with size and contested-catch ability. Big-bodied perimeter target with red-zone scoring role.
20% target share and 79% snaps on a team with a 28.5 implied total — Johnston is a fine PPR flex as a heavy home-side favorite.
- Vegas implies 28.5 team points as 11.5-point favorites.
- Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 79% snap share in 2025.
The call
- Role is locked in: 79% snap share and a 20% target share over 13 games means he's the clear No. 2 in the passing game, not a rotational piece.
- The 28.5 implied team total is one of the better marks on the slate; even a modest slice of that scoring output gets him to his 10.4 projection.
- Game script is the main risk — an 11.5-point spread can turn into a run-heavy second half that caps his volume, so he's a flex, not a set-and-forget WR2.
- WR48 consensus ranking undersells the target volume; you're starting him over a typical replacement-level flex in a 12-team PPR league.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | MarShawn Lloyd | Quentin Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 11.612.613.5 | 7.38.810.4 |
| Consensus rank | RB33 | WR48 |
| Opponent vs position | MINno ranking yet | ARIno ranking yet |
| Target share | — | 20%(2025) |
| Reception share | — | 18%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 23.0-1.5 | 28.5-11.5 |
| Depth chart | RB2 | WR2 |
| Snap share | — | 79%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 13.5 vs 10.4 projected PPR pointsMarShawn Lloyd +
- Rank 33 vs 48MarShawn Lloyd +
- Matchup (DvP composite)even
- Implied 23.0 vs 28.5 team pointsQuentin Johnston +
- No injury designationseven
- Snap shareeven
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