Mark Andrews or Tre Tucker: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Mark Andrews: the steadier volume wins a deceptively close projection battle

Mark Andrews is the better play because his TE1 role, red-zone mismatch profile and 25% target share are backed by a much stronger team environment. The projection gap is only 0.5 points, but that understates the difference: Andrews has a reliable usage foundation, while Tre Tucker’s vertical role depends more on splash plays in a low-scoring offense. Tucker’s speed and manufactured touches give him real upside, but his thinner target involvement makes the floor the actual risk.

What flips it: A confirmed expansion of Tucker’s target role in Las Vegas.

AI editor

Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews

TE15BALvs NO

Projected Points

Start· medium
Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker

WR60LVvs LAC

Projected Points

Sit

Mark Andrews’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
+124 / -159
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 43.5
-112 / -112
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+160
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Tre Tucker’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+112 / -143
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 36.5
-113 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+330
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NO@
BALSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
LV@
LACSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETView the game →

Why Mark Andrews

Start· medium

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

25% target share and 72% snaps in a 27-point implied offense — Andrews is a volume-driven TE1 start despite the TE15 tag.

  • Andrews’ red-zone role gives his strong target share more touchdown equity than the raw projection gap suggests.
  • Baltimore’s favorable scoring outlook supports his volume even if New Orleans limits explosive plays.

The call

  • A 25% target share is elite for the position — Andrews is the clear focal point in the passing game, and that usage floor matters more than his TE15 consensus label in PPR.
  • Baltimore's 27.0 implied total as a 7.5-point favorite means plenty of scoring chances, and Andrews has long been the red-zone preference in this offense.
  • The DvP composite of 12 of 32 reads slightly tough, but it's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to bench a target hog.
  • Risk is script-based: a big early lead could shift Baltimore run-heavy and cap his volume, and 72% snaps leaves some rotational work on the table.

Why Tre Tucker

Sit

WR1 and vertical speed threat. Field-stretching burner used on jet motion and manufactured touches.

Sit — bench-tier WR at consensus WR60: 17.0 implied team total caps the ceiling, 14% target share.

  • Tucker’s jet motion and vertical speed can create a long gain without requiring a high target count.
  • His WR1 designation offers upside if Las Vegas falls behind and must attack downfield.

Head-to-head stats

MetricMark AndrewsTre Tucker
Projected points
Consensus rankTE15WR60
Opponent vs positionNO · 12 of 321-game sampleLAC · 14 of 321-game sample
Receptions18 of 3227 of 32
Receiving Yards17 of 3222 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 321 of 32
Targets24 of 3219 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 321 of 32
Target share25%14%
Reception share24%10%
Implied total · spread27.0-7.517.0+8.5
Depth chartTE1WR1
Snap share72%71%
Start/Sit record0–10–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Mark Andrews — last 1 week

Week 1vs IND

Tre Tucker — last 1 week

Week 1vs MIA

Signal breakdown

  • 10.4 vs 9.9 projected PPR pointsMark Andrews +
  • Rank 15 vs 60Mark Andrews +
  • Opponent DvP rank 12 vs 14 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 27.0 vs 17.0 team pointsMark Andrews +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 72% vs 71% snap shareMark Andrews +

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