Kyle Pitts Sr. or Pat Freiermuth: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Pitts gets the nod on role upside, but his volume is the entire gamble
Start Kyle Pitts: his TE7 consensus standing and Atlanta’s stronger scoring outlook give his vertical seam role more ceiling than Pat Freiermuth’s bench-tier profile. The call is narrow because Pitts’ role has not produced usable volume—he was shut out on one Week 1 target (Steelers.com 2026-09-14). Freiermuth has the stronger recent production and target involvement, but New England’s difficult tight end matchup and Pittsburgh’s lower scoring outlook make that advantage harder to trust. The actual risk is simple: Pitts can repeat the same empty route volume, while Freiermuth needs his steadier chain-moving role to overcome the environment.
What flips it: Another empty target game for Pitts.
Sources: Steelers.com · Sep 14, 2026
AI editor

Kyle Pitts Sr.
6.89.011.2 Projected Points

Pat Freiermuth
4.56.58.5 Projected Points
Kyle Pitts Sr.’s market
Pat Freiermuth’s market
Why Kyle Pitts Sr.
Toss-Up· mediumTE1 and vertical seam threat. Rare size-speed mismatch profile with high-volume target share in the passing game.
TE7 on paper at 11.1 projected, but a 5% target share and a zero-catch Week 1 on one look make Pitts a bet on volume that hasn't shown up.
- Pitts’ seam-threat profile creates a bigger payoff if Atlanta finally routes him into the passing game.
- His zero-catch opener makes the recommended play unusually dependent on a role correction.
The call
- The projection (11.1, TE7) and a near-even game — Atlanta -1.5, 23.0 implied total — say playable, but that number is built on reputation more than 2026 usage.
- Role red flag: 63% snap share with just a 5% target share, and Steelers.com noted he was "targeted just once by Cooper Rush and finishing with zero catches" in Week 1.
- Matchup is neutral at best — Carolina grades 13 of 32 vs the position (softest = 32), and that's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no soft-spot bonus to lean on.
- Tip it to start if he draws early-down and red-zone looks with Rush under center; if you have any top-12 TE with a defined target share, play that instead this week.
Latest on Pitts
Kyle Pitts was shut out entirely in Week 1, targeted just once by Cooper Rush and finishing with zero catches as the Steelers defense effectively limited Atlanta's top two pass-catching options behind Robinson.
Steelers.com · Sep 14, 2026TreVeyon Henderson won't suit up on Wednesday, leaving most of the backfield work for Rhamondre Stevenson.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Pat Freiermuth
SitTE1 in pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover with red-zone size and dependable hands.
Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE24: NE is the 2nd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 14% target share.
- Freiermuth’s chain-moving skill supports a steadier floor than the projection gap suggests.
- His recent output is encouraging, but the Patriots matchup attacks the volume he needs.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Kyle Pitts Sr. | Pat Freiermuth |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.89.011.2 | 4.56.58.5 |
| Consensus rank | TE7 | TE24 |
| Opponent vs position | CAR · 13 of 321-game sample | NE · 2 of 321-game sample |
| Receptions | 2 of 32 | 2 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 14 of 32 | 2 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 21 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 6 of 32 | 2 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 20 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 5% | 14% |
| Reception share | 0% | 21% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.0-1.5 | 19.5+4.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | TE2 |
| Snap share | 63% | 73% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–1+1 toss-up | — |
Recent form
Kyle Pitts Sr. — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs PIT | 0.00.00.0 |
Pat Freiermuth — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs ATL | 10.613.115.6 |
Signal breakdown
- 11.2 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsKyle Pitts Sr. +
- Rank 7 vs 24Kyle Pitts Sr. +
- Opponent DvP rank 13 vs 2 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 23.0 vs 19.5 team pointsKyle Pitts Sr. +
- No injury designationseven
- 63% vs 73% snap sharePat Freiermuth +
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