Keenan Allen or Pat Freiermuth: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Freiermuth — the consensus rank and snap share edges are too wide to ignore.

Pat Freiermuth is the higher consensus play (TE24 to WR59) and plays a 73% snap share to Allen's 67%. Allen's edge is the game script, 20.5 implied points to 19.5. The gap is comfortable.

Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen

WR59INDvs KC

Projected Points

Sit
Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

TE24PITvs NE

Projected Points

Sit

Keenan Allen’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-117 / -109
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 30.5
-113 / -111
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+340
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Pat Freiermuth’s market

ATD
Anytime TD
+500
Anytime Touchdown Props →
IND@
KCSun, Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETView the game →
PIT@
NESun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Keenan Allen

Sit

Veteran possession WR in a crowded receiver room. Elite route craft and reliable hands on third downs.

Sit — bench-tier WR at consensus WR59: KC is the 4th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 21% target share.

  • KC ranks 4 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 20.5 team points as 6.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-3 on the latest depth chart with a 67% snap share.

Latest on Allen

Role

Allen tied for the team lead with six targets in the Week 1 loss to the Ravens, alongside Alec Pierce.

CBS Sports · Sep 14, 2026
Colts WR Allen relinquishes No. 13 to teammate Treadwell

Receiver Keenan Allen will wear No. 10 with the Colts this season, marking the first time in his 13-year NFL career that he will not be wearing No. 13, which will be worn by Laquon Treadwell.

ESPN · Sep 2, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Pat Freiermuth

Sit

TE1 in pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover with red-zone size and dependable hands.

Sit — bench-tier TE at consensus TE24: NE is the 2nd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 14% target share.

  • NE ranks 2 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 19.5 team points as 4.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 73% snap share.

Head-to-head stats

MetricKeenan AllenPat Freiermuth
Projected points
Consensus rankWR59TE24
Opponent vs positionKC · 4 of 321-game sampleNE · 2 of 321-game sample
Receptions3 of 322 of 32
Receiving Yards3 of 322 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 321 of 32
Targets11 of 322 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 321 of 32
Target share21%14%
Reception share32%21%
Implied total · spread20.5+6.519.5+4.5
Depth chartWR3TE2
Snap share67%73%

Recent form

Keenan Allen — last 1 week

Week 1vs BAL

Pat Freiermuth — last 1 week

Week 1vs ATL

Signal breakdown

  • 8.7 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsKeenan Allen +
  • Rank 59 vs 24Pat Freiermuth +
  • Opponent DvP rank 4 vs 2 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 20.5 vs 19.5 team pointsKeenan Allen +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 67% vs 73% snap sharePat Freiermuth +

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