Juwan Johnson or Keenan Allen: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Johnson — the consensus rank and snap share edges are too wide to ignore.
Juwan Johnson is the higher consensus play (TE16 to WR59) and plays a 84% snap share to Allen's 67%. Allen's edge is the game script, 20.5 implied points to 19.5. The gap is comfortable.
Juwan Johnson
5.07.08.9 Projected Points
Keenan Allen
4.76.78.7 Projected Points
Juwan Johnson’s market
Keenan Allen’s market
Why Juwan Johnson
Toss-Up· mediumTE1 and high-volume pass-catcher. Big-bodied converted receiver who is a red-zone and intermediate mismatch.
TE16 with an 84% snap share and 14% target share, but a 19.5 implied total and a rank-12 DvP matchup cap the ceiling.
- BAL ranks 12 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 1-game sample).
- Vegas implies 19.5 team points as 7.5-point underdogs.
- Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share.
The call
- Role is locked in: 84% snap share and a 14% target share make him the clear TE1 in this offense, which is why he holds TE16 value at 8.9 projected points.
- The matchup works against him — Baltimore grades 12 of 32 versus tight ends (32 = softest), and the sample is one game with 0.00 confidence, so there's no soft spot to chase.
- Vegas paints a low-scoring day for New Orleans: 19.5 implied team total as a 7.5-point underdog. Chasing points should keep the passing volume up, but red-zone equity is thin.
- Tip it toward start if your alternative is a committee TE with sub-70% snaps; sit him if you have a TE attached to a team totaling 24-plus.
Latest on Johnson
With Alvin Kamara sidelined, fantasy managers are left to wonder who will pick up the carries for New Orleans.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Keenan Allen
SitVeteran possession WR in a crowded receiver room. Elite route craft and reliable hands on third downs.
Sit — bench-tier WR at consensus WR59: KC is the 4th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 21% target share.
- KC ranks 4 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 1-game sample).
- Vegas implies 20.5 team points as 6.5-point underdogs.
- Listed WR-3 on the latest depth chart with a 67% snap share.
Latest on Allen
Allen tied for the team lead with six targets in the Week 1 loss to the Ravens, alongside Alec Pierce.
CBS Sports · Sep 14, 2026Receiver Keenan Allen will wear No. 10 with the Colts this season, marking the first time in his 13-year NFL career that he will not be wearing No. 13, which will be worn by Laquon Treadwell.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Juwan Johnson | Keenan Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.07.08.9 | 4.76.78.7 |
| Consensus rank | TE16 | WR59 |
| Opponent vs position | BAL · 12 of 321-game sample | KC · 4 of 321-game sample |
| Receptions | 5 of 32 | 3 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 2 of 32 | 3 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 21 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 11 of 32 | 11 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 20 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 14% | 21% |
| Reception share | 9% | 32% |
| Implied total · spread | 19.5+7.5 | 20.5+6.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | WR3 |
| Snap share | 84% | 67% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+2 toss-ups | — |
Recent form
Juwan Johnson — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs DET | 11.412.914.4 |
Keenan Allen — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs BAL | 3.26.29.2 |
Signal breakdown
- 8.9 vs 8.7 projected PPR pointsJuwan Johnson +
- Rank 16 vs 59Juwan Johnson +
- Opponent DvP rank 12 vs 4 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 19.5 vs 20.5 team pointsKeenan Allen +
- No injury designationseven
- 84% vs 67% snap shareJuwan Johnson +
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