Isaiah Likely or Jordan Mason: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Likely gets the edge from a clearer receiving path, but Mason keeps the call narrow
Start Isaiah Likely: the projected big-slot deployment gives him a more credible route-volume path than Jordan Mason’s near-even backfield split, per Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) 2026-09-02. This remains close because Likely is a floor play rather than a difference-maker, while Mason can win with early-down and short-yardage work. Likely’s stronger positional standing and team environment provide the edge, but his role still carries volatility if the Giants’ receiver room is healthier than expected.
What flips it: Malik Nabers being cleared for a full role before kickoff.
Sources: Sports Illustrated (Giants On SI) · Sep 2, 2026 · Yahoo Sports · Aug 31, 2026 · Yahoo Sports · Aug 30, 2026
AI editor

Isaiah Likely
5.67.59.4 Projected Points

Jordan Mason
7.98.38.7 Projected Points
Why Isaiah Likely
Toss-Up· mediumStarting TE and pass-catching mismatch. Athletic seam-stretcher with red-zone flex ability.
TE12 at 9.4 projected is the literal last starting TE slot — 59% snaps and a 14% target share make him a floor play, not a difference-maker.
- The big-slot plan could create steadier route access than Likely’s normal tight-end deployment.
- His risk is role volatility if New York no longer needs him to offset a thin receiver group.
The call
- Consensus has him TE12 at 9.4 PPR points, which is exactly the 12-team starter cutoff: fine if your alternative is a waiver dart, benchable if you have a locked-in top-10 option.
- Role is real but not dominant — 59% snap share and a 14% target share over 11 games means he's on the field for most passing downs without commanding a true focal-point workload.
- The DvP composite of 10 of 32 grades this as a tougher-than-average draw, but with a 0-game sample and 0.00 confidence there's nothing to actually lean on either way.
- Game script is neutral-to-helpful: a 1.5-point spread and a 23.5 implied team total point to a competitive game with enough volume to reach his projection, which is what tips him in if he's your best available body.
Latest on Likely
Why Jordan Mason
Toss-UpRB2 in near-even split. Physical downhill runner with contact balance and short-yardage value.
Toss-up — RB40 by consensus and projection: 4% target share in 2025, 8.7 PPR projected vs GB.
- Mason’s downhill style gives him a credible touchdown path even with limited receiving work.
- Jones’ age and injury history create upside if Mason’s 1b role expands, per Yahoo Sports 2026-08-31.
Latest on Mason
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Isaiah Likely | Jordan Mason |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.67.59.4 | 7.98.38.7 |
| Consensus rank | TE12 | RB40 |
| Opponent vs position | DAL · 10 of 320-game sample | GB · 17 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 16 of 32 | 20 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 16 of 32 | 8 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 6 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 9 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 5 of 32 | 9 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 21 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 19 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 27 of 32 |
| Target share | 14%(2025) | 4%(2025) |
| Reception share | 15%(2025) | 5%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 23.5+1.5 | 21.5+1.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | RB2 |
| Snap share | 59%(2025) | 43%(2025) |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | — |
Signal breakdown
- 9.4 vs 8.7 projected PPR pointsIsaiah Likely +
- Rank 12 vs 40Isaiah Likely +
- Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 17 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 23.5 vs 21.5 team pointsIsaiah Likely +
- No injury designationseven
- 59% vs 43% snap shareIsaiah Likely +
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