Hunter Henry or Isaiah Likely: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Role is not the issue: 79% snap share and an 18% target share make Henry a genuine every-down piece of this passing game, which is why he's usable at all in 12-team PPR.
• The environment is the problem — a 20.5 implied team total and a 3.5-point spread point to a compressed, low-volume script, and the consensus 8.3 projection reflects that ceiling.
• TE18 on the board means he's outside the standard 12-team starter tier; he's a touchdown-or-bust play whose floor depends on red-zone looks rather than yardage.
• Tip it toward starting if your alternative is a sub-15% target share backup TE; sit him if you have any TE attached to a higher-scoring game environment.

The call

• Consensus has him TE12 at 9.4 PPR points, literally the last starting tight end in a 12-team league — no margin over a typical waiver TE.
• Role is real but not dominant: 59% snap share and a 14% target share over 11 games means he needs volume or a red-zone look to clear his projection.
• Matchup leans the wrong way — Dallas grades 10 of 32 on the DvP composite (32 = softest), though the 0-game sample means low confidence in that read.
• Reported plan to use him as a 'big slot receiver' with only five wide receivers available is the tipping point: if that materializes and Nabers is limited, his target share jumps and he becomes a start; if he's back to a standard TE snap count, sit him.