Harold Fannin Jr. or Mark Andrews: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Fannin brings the volume; Andrews brings the scoring environment

Fannin's TE1 role and 22% target share give him the sturdier weekly floor, and his snap volume supports the TE6 ranking. But Cleveland's 16.5 implied total narrows his scoring ceiling, while Andrews benefits from Baltimore's 26.5 total and home-favorite script despite lighter usage. Fannin is the better volume bet; Andrews is the better touchdown-environment bet. Start either, with Fannin risking a low-scoring game and Andrews relying more on efficiency or a score.

What flips it: A confirmed red-zone role increase for Fannin.

AI editor

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE6CLEvs JAX

6.28.611.1 Projected Points

Start

Mark Andrews

TE10BALvs IND

6.68.410.1 Projected Points

Start· medium

Why Harold Fannin Jr.

Start

TE1 and high-volume receiving target. Move tight end and mismatch chess piece with YAC ability.

Start — TE6 consensus, projects TE5 this week: JAX is the 9th-softest matchup vs TEs, 16.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

Fannin's receiving-first TE1 role gives him a safer path to points than Cleveland's scoring outlook suggests.
His risk is touchdown scarcity if the Browns' limited scoring chances bypass him.

Why Mark Andrews

Start· medium

TE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.

TE10 with a 17% target share and a 26.5 implied total — Andrews is a clear starter as a home favorite with no injury designation.

Andrews' red-zone mismatch profile makes Baltimore's favorable scoring environment especially valuable.
At 62% snaps, he needs efficiency or a score to overcome lighter weekly involvement.

The call

Consensus TE10 at 10.1 projected PPR points clears the bar in a 12-team league, where the replacement-level TE is a sub-8-point flyer.
Role is locked: 62% snap share and a 17% target share make him Baltimore's primary red-zone and seam target, and there's no injury designation to manage.
A 26.5 implied team total with a -3.5 spread points to a scoring, controlled game script — enough volume and touchdown equity for TE1 upside.
The only soft spot is the matchup read: IND grades 20 of 32 on the DvP composite, but that's a 0-game sample with zero confidence, so it shouldn't move the needle either way.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Harold Fannin Jr.	Mark Andrews
Projected points	6.28.611.1	6.68.410.1
Consensus rank	TE6	TE10
Opponent vs position	JAX · 24 of 320-game sample	IND · 20 of 320-game sample
Receptions	26 of 32	25 of 32
Receiving Yards	22 of 32	31 of 32
Receiving TDs	21 of 32	9 of 32
Targets	31 of 32	24 of 32
Anytime TD	20 of 32	9 of 32
Target share	22%(2025)	17%(2025)
Reception share	24%(2025)	17%(2025)
Implied total · spread	16.5+7.5	26.5-3.5
Depth chart	TE1	TE1
Snap share	76%(2025)	62%(2025)