George Kittle or Isaiah Likely: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The usage is the whole case: 81% snap share and a 19% target share over 11 games is top-tier TE volume, well above what the 8.4-point, TE16 consensus implies.
• Matchup is neutral — the Rams sit 17th of 32 in the DvP composite on a zero-game sample, so there's no defensive signal strong enough to bench him.
• A 22.8 implied total with a 3.0 spread points to a competitive game where San Francisco keeps throwing; Kittle doesn't need a blowout script to see targets.
• Risk is the questionable tag and the report that his game-day workload is undecided — confirm he's active pregame, and if the snap count gets capped, a healthy streamer is the safer play.

The call

• Consensus has him TE12 at 9.4 PPR points, literally the last starting tight end in a 12-team league — no margin over a typical waiver TE.
• Role is real but not dominant: 59% snap share and a 14% target share over 11 games means he needs volume or a red-zone look to clear his projection.
• Matchup leans the wrong way — Dallas grades 10 of 32 on the DvP composite (32 = softest), though the 0-game sample means low confidence in that read.
• Reported plan to use him as a 'big slot receiver' with only five wide receivers available is the tipping point: if that materializes and Nabers is limited, his target share jumps and he becomes a start; if he's back to a standard TE snap count, sit him.