Garrett Wilson or Terry McLaurin: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Wilson's role breaks a close call with McLaurin
Start Garrett Wilson in a narrow decision: his every-down role and alpha-target profile provide a sturdier PPR floor than Terry McLaurin's more limited deployment. McLaurin benefits from Washington's better scoring environment and explosive vertical role, so the gap is smaller than the rankings suggest. Wilson's real risk is the Jets' low implied total, which can cap touchdown and yardage upside if the offense stalls.
What flips it: A late downgrade to Wilson's availability.
AI editor
Garrett Wilson
8.911.814.8 Projected Points
Terry McLaurin
7.710.012.3 Projected Points
Why Garrett Wilson
StartWR1 and alpha target. Elite separation quickness and contested-catch skill; missed time cut his sample last season.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR12: TEN is the 10th-softest matchup vs WRs, 18.3 implied team total caps the ceiling.
- Wilson's near-every-down role gives his elite target skill more chances to overcome a modest team total.
- With no usable DvP sample, his advantage comes from role stability rather than matchup optimism.
Latest on Wilson
The Fifth-Year WR: ‘Something’s Going to Happen This Year’
Garrett Wilson said breaking the Jets' 15-year playoff drought feels "very realistic" and went as far as stating that was the goal this season.
Rich Cimini reports on Garrett Wilson's expectations for the Jets this upcoming NFL season.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Terry McLaurin
Toss-UpWR1 and offensive centerpiece. Explosive vertical route-runner with elite release package; missed time in 2025.
Toss-up — WR24 by consensus and projection: PHI is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 24% target share in 2025.
- Washington's stronger scoring environment keeps McLaurin's ceiling alive despite Philadelphia's difficult coverage matchup.
- His vertical skill can swing the matchup on fewer opportunities, making him the more explosive underdog.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Garrett Wilson | Terry McLaurin |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.911.814.8 | 7.710.012.3 |
| Consensus rank | WR12 | WR24 |
| Opponent vs position | TEN · 23 of 320-game sample | PHI · 10 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 25 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 29 of 32 | 15 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 27 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 13 of 32 | 23 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 22 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 30%(2025) | 24%(2025) |
| Reception share | 29%(2025) | 23%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 18.3+3.0 | 20.5+5.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | WR1 |
| Snap share | 87%(2025) | 70%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 14.8 vs 12.3 projected PPR pointsGarrett Wilson +
- Rank 12 vs 24Garrett Wilson +
- Opponent DvP rank 23 vs 10 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 18.3 vs 20.5 team pointsTerry McLaurin +
- No injury designationseven
- 87% vs 70% snap shareGarrett Wilson +
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