Start DJ Moore over Jordan Addison — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Moore — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

DJ Moore is the higher consensus play (WR31 to WR44) and projects 11.6 to Addison's 9.9. Addison's edge is snap share, 85% to 85%. The gap is comfortable.

DJ Moore

WR31BUFvs HOU

7.79.711.6 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Jordan Addison

WR44MINvs GB

6.48.19.9 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Why DJ Moore

Toss-Up· medium

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

WR31 at 11.6 projected is right on the flex line: 85% snap share is real, but a 16% target share and a fresh post-trade role cap the ceiling.

HOU ranks 7 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 23.5 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share in 2025.

The call

Volume case is thin for a confident start — 85% snap share means he's on the field, but a 16% target share over 17 games is low-end WR3 usage, and 11.6 projected points is exactly replacement-level flex output.
Game script helps: a 1.5-point spread with a 23.5 implied team total means a competitive, two-way game with no reason to expect the offense to stall out or go run-heavy in a blowout.
Matchup grades tough on paper (7 of 32, where 32 is softest), but the composite is built on a 0-game sample at 0.00 confidence, so it shouldn't be the deciding input either way.
Tipping point: if he's confirmed as the clear No. 1 target in his new offense after the trade to Buffalo, start him as a WR3; if the target share stays near 16% behind another alpha, a higher-volume flex is the better play.

Latest on Moore

Role

DJ Moore is no longer a Chicago Bear; he was traded to the Buffalo Bills, ending his run with Chicago and shifting the Bears' No. 1 receiver duties to Rome Odunze for Week 1 2026.

ESPN · Sep 4, 2026

Why Jordan Addison

Toss-Up· medium

WR2 and vertical field-stretcher. Slight-framed separator with deep-ball tracking and red-zone production.

21% target share on 85% of snaps is real WR2 volume, but a WR44 tag and 9.9 projected points make him a flex-only call in 12-team PPR.

GB ranks 17 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 0-game sample).
Vegas implies 21.5 team points as 1.5-point underdogs.
Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share in 2025.

The call

Usage is the strength of the profile: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games means he's on the field and involved every drive, which is the floor-builder that matters in PPR.
The projection doesn't match the role — 9.9 points and a WR44 consensus rank put him below the typical starting cut in a 12-team league, so he's a flex piece rather than a lineup lock.
Matchup and script are neutral: Green Bay grades 17 of 32 vs the position on a 0-game sample with zero confidence, and a 1.5-point spread with a 21.5 implied total means no built-in pass-volume boost.
Tipping point: if your alternative is a low-target committee back or a boom-bust WR3, Addison's target share wins; if you have a locked-in WR with a better implied total, sit him.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	DJ Moore	Jordan Addison
Projected points	7.79.711.6	6.48.19.9
Consensus rank	WR31	WR44
Opponent vs position	HOU · 7 of 320-game sample	GB · 17 of 320-game sample
Receptions	4 of 32	14 of 32
Receiving Yards	11 of 32	14 of 32
Receiving TDs	5 of 32	27 of 32
Targets	12 of 32	10 of 32
Anytime TD	4 of 32	22 of 32
Target share	16%(2025)	21%(2025)
Reception share	15%(2025)	17%(2025)
Implied total · spread	23.5-1.5	21.5+1.5
Depth chart	WR1	WR2
Snap share	85%(2025)	85%(2025)
Start/Sit record	0–0+1 toss-up	0–0+1 toss-up