Derrick Henry or TreVeyon Henderson: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Henry — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.

Derrick Henry projects 17.1 to Henderson's 9.3 and is the higher consensus play (RB9 to RB27). No signal favors Henderson this week. The gap is wide.

Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

RB9BALvs NO

Projected Points

Start
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson

RB27NEvs PIT

Projected Points

Sit

Derrick Henry’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 88.5
-114 / -114
Rushing Yards Props →

TreVeyon Henderson’s market

Why Derrick Henry

Start

RB1 and workhorse power back. Elite size-speed tackle-breaker with heavy volume and goal-line dominance.

Start — every-week RB start at consensus RB9: NO is the 7th-softest matchup vs RBs, 27.0 implied team total.

  • NO ranks 26 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 54% snap share.

Latest on Henry

Role

Derrick Henry opened the season with 144 rushing yards and three touchdowns against the Indianapolis Colts.

Late for Work: Emmitt Smith Believes Derrick Henry Could Break His All-Time Rushing Recordbaltimoreravens.com · Sep 16, 2026

Emmitt Smith acknowledged this week that Ravens running back Derrick Henry could surpass him as the league's rushing king.

ESPN · Sep 16, 2026

Ravens running back Derrick Henry moved into third place on the NFL's all-time rushing touchdowns list by scoring three times Sunday.

ESPN · Sep 13, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why TreVeyon Henderson

Sit

RB2 and explosive change-of-pace back. Home-run speed with pass-protection and receiving value.

Sit — RB27 consensus, projects RB37 this week: 24.0 implied team total, 9% target share in 2025.

  • Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
  • PIT ranks 21 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.0 team points as 4.5-point favorites.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 46% snap share in 2025.

Latest on Henderson

Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson won't play in the regular-season opener against the Seahawks, while the defending Super Bowl champions might have to begin their title defense without two of their top three safeties.

ESPN · Sep 9, 2026

After missing all three practices this week, Henderson (ankle) has been ruled out for Wednesday night's opener vs. the Seahawks.

patriots.com · Sep 8, 2026

Mike Reiss goes through possible options for the Patriots if TreVeyon Henderson misses the season opener.

VideoESPN · Sep 8, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDerrick HenryTreVeyon Henderson
Projected points
Consensus rankRB9RB27
Opponent vs positionNO · 26 of 321-game samplePIT · 21 of 321-game sample
Rushing Yards30 of 3223 of 32
Rushing TDs27 of 321 of 32
Rushing Attempts29 of 3227 of 32
Receptions24 of 3229 of 32
Receiving Yards24 of 3232 of 32
Anytime TD22 of 3213 of 32
Target share4%9%(2025)
Reception share6%10%(2025)
Implied total · spread27.0-7.524.0-4.5
Depth chartRB1RB2
Snap share54%46%(2025)
Injury designationQuestionable

Recent form

Derrick Henry — last 1 week

Week 1vs IND

TreVeyon Henderson — last 1 week

Week 1vs SEA

Signal breakdown

  • 17.1 vs 9.3 projected PPR pointsDerrick Henry +
  • Rank 9 vs 27Derrick Henry +
  • Opponent DvP rank 26 vs 21 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 27.0 vs 24.0 team pointsDerrick Henry +
  • no designation vs QuestionableDerrick Henry +
  • 54% vs 46% snap shareDerrick Henry +

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