Derrick Henry or Rhamondre Stevenson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Henry — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.
Derrick Henry projects 17.1 to Stevenson's 12.9 and is the higher consensus play (RB9 to RB26). Stevenson's edge is snap share, 85% to 54%. The gap is wide.
Derrick Henry
15.816.517.1 Projected Points
Rhamondre Stevenson
10.311.612.9 Projected Points
Derrick Henry’s market
Rhamondre Stevenson’s market
Why Derrick Henry
StartRB1 and workhorse power back. Elite size-speed tackle-breaker with heavy volume and goal-line dominance.
Start — every-week RB start at consensus RB9: NO is the 7th-softest matchup vs RBs, 27.0 implied team total.
- NO ranks 26 of 32 against RBs (one of the softer matchups, 1-game sample).
- Vegas implies 27.0 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 54% snap share.
Latest on Henry
Derrick Henry opened the season with 144 rushing yards and three touchdowns against the Indianapolis Colts.
Late for Work: Emmitt Smith Believes Derrick Henry Could Break His All-Time Rushing Recordbaltimoreravens.com · Sep 16, 2026Emmitt Smith acknowledged this week that Ravens running back Derrick Henry could surpass him as the league's rushing king.
Ravens running back Derrick Henry moved into third place on the NFL's all-time rushing touchdowns list by scoring three times Sunday.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Rhamondre Stevenson
Start· mediumRB1 and lead back. Physical between-the-tackles runner with reliable receiving-game involvement.
85% snap share and a 19% target share make Stevenson a workhorse in PPR, and a -4.5 spread with a 24.0 implied total protects the volume.
- PIT ranks 21 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 1-game sample).
- Vegas implies 24.0 team points as 4.5-point favorites.
- Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 85% snap share.
The call
- Usage is the whole case: 85% of snaps plus a 19% target share is bell-cow work, and that pass-game role is worth points every week in PPR regardless of how the run lanes look.
- Game script cooperates — 4.5-point favorite with a 24.0 implied total means positive-script carries late and red-zone chances rather than chasing from behind.
- Matchup is neutral-to-favorable at 21 of 32 in DvP composite, though the 1-game sample carries 0.00 confidence, so it's the role and not the opponent driving this start.
- Only real risk is efficiency — 13.2 projected and an RB26 consensus rank say this is a floor play, not a league-winner, but that floor beats a typical replacement.
Latest on Stevenson
Henderson did not practice on Saturday, raising some questions about New England's lack of proven depth at running back.
TreVeyon Henderson won't suit up on Wednesday, leaving most of the backfield work for Rhamondre Stevenson.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Derrick Henry | Rhamondre Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 15.816.517.1 | 10.311.612.9 |
| Consensus rank | RB9 | RB26 |
| Opponent vs position | NO · 26 of 321-game sample | PIT · 21 of 321-game sample |
| Rushing Yards | 30 of 32 | 23 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | 27 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | 29 of 32 | 27 of 32 |
| Receptions | 24 of 32 | 29 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 24 of 32 | 32 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 22 of 32 | 13 of 32 |
| Target share | 4% | 19% |
| Reception share | 6% | 22% |
| Implied total · spread | 27.0-7.5 | 24.0-4.5 |
| Depth chart | RB1 | RB1 |
| Snap share | 54% | 85% |
| Start/Sit record | — | 1–0 |
Recent form
Derrick Henry — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs IND | 34.334.835.3 |
Rhamondre Stevenson — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs SEA | 9.512.014.5 |
Signal breakdown
- 17.1 vs 12.9 projected PPR pointsDerrick Henry +
- Rank 9 vs 26Derrick Henry +
- Opponent DvP rank 26 vs 21 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 27.0 vs 24.0 team pointsDerrick Henry +
- No injury designationseven
- 54% vs 85% snap shareRhamondre Stevenson +
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