David Montgomery or Jayden Reed: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The projection (12.7 PPR, RB21) is right at the RB2/flex line, so he isn't a bench body — but nothing in the profile screams volume either.
• A 37% snap share and 5% target share are the red flags: he's splitting a backfield (the sheet's own context frames the trade as making Woody Marks better) and gets almost no receiving work, which caps the PPR floor and makes him touchdown-dependent.
• Game script is neutral-to-decent: a 1.5-point spread and a 22.0 implied total point to a close game where the run game stays live, but a 22-point offense doesn't promise many red-zone chances to divide up.
• No injury designation is a plus, though the camp note about limited touches to keep him healthy reinforces that this is a managed workload. If he's confirmed as the goal-line back this week, he's a start; if Marks is handling short-yardage, sit him for a fuller-volume flex.

The call

• Role is part-time: 53% snap share and a 16% target share as the WR-2 over five games is not the every-down volume you need from a WR41 projection.
• Matchup is the worst kind for a low-volume slot piece — Minnesota grades 3 of 32 in the DvP composite (32 = softest), though the 0-game sample means confidence in that number is 0.00.
• Game script offers no lift: a 23.0 implied total with the Packers only -1.5 points to a coin-flip game means no forced pass volume in either direction.
• Tipping point: if the primary target ahead of him is sidelined or Reed's snap share pushes toward 70%, the 10.0 projection becomes a live flex instead of a bench call.