Dalton Schultz or Mark Andrews: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Mark Andrews: the sturdier volume bet at tight end
Mark Andrews gets the nod because his stronger role, team environment and consensus standing outweigh Dalton Schultz's matchup advantage. Andrews' red-zone mismatch and quarterback rapport make his elevated usage more bankable, while Baltimore's lead could create scoring opportunities even if the game tilts toward a run-heavy finish. Schultz is still a viable start: Houston confirmed him as its lead receiving tight end [SI/Texans On SI 2026-09-14], but Cincinnati's difficult TE matchup leaves less margin for his role to pay off. The risk is Andrews losing late-game routes if Baltimore controls the game comfortably.
What flips it: A confirmed reduction in Andrews' route volume or red-zone role.
Sources: SI/Texans On SI · Sep 14, 2026
AI editor

Dalton Schultz
5.27.18.9 Projected Points

Mark Andrews
6.78.510.4 Projected Points
Dalton Schultz’s market
Mark Andrews’s market
Why Dalton Schultz
StartTE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.
Start — TE21 consensus, projects TE18 this week: CIN is the 4th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 24.5 implied team total.
- Houston confirmed Schultz as its lead receiving tight end, giving his target role real support.
- His reliable middle-of-field work can soften a difficult matchup if Houston sustains drives.
Latest on Schultz
Schultz was Houston's lead tight end pass-catcher in Week 1 with four catches for 35 yards, confirming his role as the top receiving option at the position.
SI/Texans On SI · Sep 14, 2026Why Mark Andrews
Start· mediumTE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.
25% target share and 72% snaps in a 27-point implied offense — Andrews is a volume-driven TE1 start despite the TE15 tag.
- Andrews' red-zone mismatch gives his volume a better path to touchdowns than ordinary TE usage.
- Quarterback rapport supports his floor if Baltimore's early lead changes the passing script.
The call
- A 25% target share is elite for the position — Andrews is the clear focal point in the passing game, and that usage floor matters more than his TE15 consensus label in PPR.
- Baltimore's 27.0 implied total as a 7.5-point favorite means plenty of scoring chances, and Andrews has long been the red-zone preference in this offense.
- The DvP composite of 12 of 32 reads slightly tough, but it's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to bench a target hog.
- Risk is script-based: a big early lead could shift Baltimore run-heavy and cap his volume, and 72% snaps leaves some rotational work on the table.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Dalton Schultz | Mark Andrews |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.27.18.9 | 6.78.510.4 |
| Consensus rank | TE21 | TE15 |
| Opponent vs position | CIN · 4 of 321-game sample | NO · 12 of 321-game sample |
| Receptions | 5 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 6 of 32 | 17 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 6 of 32 | 24 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 1 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 22% | 25% |
| Reception share | 15% | 24% |
| Implied total · spread | 24.5-2.5 | 27.0-7.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 66% | 72% |
| Start/Sit record | — | 0–1 |
Recent form
Dalton Schultz — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs BUF | 3.55.57.5 |
Mark Andrews — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs IND | 4.96.98.9 |
Signal breakdown
- 8.9 vs 10.4 projected PPR pointsMark Andrews +
- Rank 21 vs 15Mark Andrews +
- Opponent DvP rank 4 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 24.5 vs 27.0 team pointsMark Andrews +
- No injury designationseven
- 66% vs 72% snap shareMark Andrews +
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