Dalton Schultz or KC Concepcion: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Schultz — the consensus rank and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Dalton Schultz is the higher consensus play (TE21 to WR52) and plays in the better game script (24.5 implied team points to 18.5). Concepcion's edge is the projection, 9.6 to 8.1. The gap is comfortable.

Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz

TE21HOUvs CIN

Projected Points

Start
KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion

WR52CLEvs TB

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Dalton Schultz’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-127 / +100
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 37.5
-109 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →

KC Concepcion’s market

ATD
Anytime TD
+360

Why Dalton Schultz

Start

TE1 in high-volume pass-catching role. Reliable chain-mover over the middle with sure hands.

Start — TE21 by consensus and projection: CIN is the 4th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 24.5 implied team total.

  • CIN ranks 4 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 24.5 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 66% snap share.

Latest on Schultz

Role

Schultz was Houston's lead tight end pass-catcher in Week 1 with four catches for 35 yards, confirming his role as the top receiving option at the position.

SI/Texans On SI · Sep 14, 2026

Why KC Concepcion

Toss-Up

Rookie WR in a starting role. Twitchy slot/flanker with YAC burst and return-game background.

Toss-up — WR52 consensus, projects WR49 this week: TB is the 4th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 18.5 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • TB ranks 4 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 1-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 18.5 team points as 5.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 69% snap share.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDalton SchultzKC Concepcion
Projected points
Consensus rankTE21WR52
Opponent vs positionCIN · 4 of 321-game sampleTB · 4 of 321-game sample
Receptions5 of 324 of 32
Receiving Yards6 of 328 of 32
Receiving TDs1 of 321 of 32
Targets6 of 326 of 32
Anytime TD1 of 321 of 32
Target share22%23%
Reception share15%25%
Implied total · spread24.5-2.518.5+5.5
Depth chartTE1WR2
Snap share66%69%

Recent form

Dalton Schultz — last 1 week

Week 1vs BUF

KC Concepcion — last 1 week

Week 1vs JAX

Signal breakdown

  • 8.1 vs 9.6 projected PPR pointsKC Concepcion +
  • Rank 21 vs 52Dalton Schultz +
  • Opponent DvP rank 4 vs 4 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 24.5 vs 18.5 team pointsDalton Schultz +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 66% vs 69% snap shareKC Concepcion +

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